Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28187786›Full record

Observational studyBMC nephrology2017

Low renal replacement therapy incidence among slowly progressing elderly chronic kidney disease patients referred to nephrology care: an observational study.

Ulrika Hahn Lundström, Alessandro Gasparini, Rino Bellocco, Abdul Rashid Qureshi, Juan-Jesus Carrero, Marie Evans

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMC nephrology, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Prospects for lithium treated patients with severe renal impairment.International journal of bipolar disorders · 2025
    Article
  4. Review
  5. Observational
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Chronic kidney disease progression and mortality risk profiles in Germany: results from the Chronic Kidney Disease Outcomes and Practice Patterns Study.Nephrology, dialysis, transplantation : official publication of the European Dialysis and Transplant Association - European Renal Association · 2020
    Article
  11. The transition clinic in chronic kidney disease care.Nephrology, dialysis, transplantation : official publication of the European Dialysis and Transplant Association - European Renal Association · 2020
    Review
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Ulrika Hahn LundströmDivision of Renal Medicine, Department CLINTEC, Karolinska Institutet and Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden.
Alessandro GaspariniDivision of Renal Medicine, Department CLINTEC, Karolinska Institutet and Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden.
Rino BelloccoDepartment of Statistics and Quantitative Methods, University Milano-Bicocca, Milan, Italy.
Abdul Rashid QureshiDivision of Renal Medicine, Department CLINTEC, Karolinska Institutet and Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden.
Juan-Jesus CarreroDivision of Renal Medicine, Department CLINTEC, Karolinska Institutet and Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden.
Marie EvansDivision of Renal Medicine, Department CLINTEC, Karolinska Institutet and Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden. marie.evans@ki.se.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8650-5795

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundElderly patients with advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) have a high risk of death before reaching end-stage kidney disease. In order to allocate resources, such as advanced care nephrology where it is most needed, it is essential to know which patients have the highest absolute risk of advancing to renal replacement therapy (RRT).

methodsWe included all nephrology-referred CKD stage 3b-5 patients in Sweden 2005-2011 included in the Swedish renal registry (SRR-CKD) who had at least two serum creatinine measurements one year apart (+/- 6 months). We followed these patients to either initiation of RRT, death, or September 30, 2013. Decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (%) was estimated during the one-year baseline period. The patients in the highest tertile of progression (>18.7% decline in eGFR) during the initial year of follow-up were classified as "fast progressors". We estimated the cumulative incidence of RRT and death before RRT by age, eGFR and progression status using competing risk models.

resultsThere were 2119 RRT initiations (24.2%) and 2060 deaths (23.5%) before RRT started. The median progression rate estimated during the initial year was -8.8% (Interquartile range [IQR] - 24.5-6.5%). A fast initial progression rate was associated with a higher risk of RRT initiation (Sub Hazard Ratio [SHR] 2.24 (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.00-2.51) and also a higher risk of death before RRT initiation (SHR 1.27 (95% CI 1.13-1.43). The five year probability of RRT was highest in younger patients (<65 years) with fast initial progression rate (51% in CKD stage 4 and 76% in stage 5), low overall in patients >75 years with a slow progression rate (7, 13, and 25% for CKD stages 3b, 4 and 5 respectively), and slightly higher in elderly patients with a fast initial progression rate (28% in CKD stage 4 and 47% in CKD stage 5) or with diabetic kidney disease.

conclusionsThe 5-year probability of RRT was low among referred slowly progressing CKD patients >75 years of age because of the competing risk of death.

Indexed as

Utilization ReviewAgedAged, 80 and overDisease ProgressionFemaleGlomerular Filtration RateHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedNephrologyReferral and ConsultationRenal Insufficiency, ChronicRenal Replacement TherapyRisk FactorsSurvival RateChronic Kidney DiseaseEnd-stage kidney diseaseEpidemiologyEstimated glomerular filtration rateMortalityProgression rateRenal replacement therapy

Identifiers

PMID28187786
PMCPMC5303237

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.