ArticlePloS one2017
Estimation of chronic kidney disease incidence from prevalence and mortality data in American Indians with type 2 diabetes.
Article in PloS one, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.
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Who cites it
9 citing papers in PubMed, 17 citations in OpenAlex.
- Effect of statins and antihyperglycemics on chronic kidney disease in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: a retrospective cohort study with a 12-year follow-up.Journal of pharmaceutical policy and practice · 2025Article
- Using the illness-death model to estimate age- and sex-standardized incidence rates of diabetes in Mexico from 2003 to 2015.BMC public health · 2024Article
- Estimating incidence of type 1 and type 2 diabetes using prevalence data: the SEARCH for Diabetes in Youth study.BMC medical research methodology · 2023Article
- Increased levels of oral Streptococcus-derived D-alanine in patients with chronic kidney disease and diabetes mellitus.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Prevalence of diagnosed diabetes in American Indian and Alaska Native adults, 2006-2017.BMJ open diabetes research & care · 2020Article
- Prevalence of Prediabetes Among Adolescents and Young Adults in the United States, 2005-2016.JAMA pediatrics · 2020Article
- Estimating prevalence of type I and type II diabetes using incidence rates: the SEARCH for diabetes in youth study.Annals of epidemiology · 2019Article
- Chronic kidney disease in patients at high risk of cardiovascular disease in the United Arab Emirates: A population-based study.PloS one · 2018Article
- Projecting the Burden of Chronic Kidney Disease in a Developed Country and Its Implications on Public Health.International journal of nephrology · 2018Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
5 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.
Funding
Abstract
The objective was to estimate chronic kidney disease (CKD) incidence rates from prevalence and mortality data, and compare the estimates with observed (true) incidence rates in a well-characterized population with diabetes. Pima Indians aged 20 years and older with type 2 diabetes were followed from 1982 through 2007. CKD was defined by estimated GFR (eGFR) <60 ml/min/1.72 m2 or albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) ≥30 mg/g. True CKD incidence and mortality rates were computed for the whole study period, and prevalence for the intervals 1982-1994 and 1995-2007. Estimated age-sex stratified CKD incidence rates were computed using illness-death models of the observed prevalences, and of the whole-period mortality rate ratio of CKD to non-CKD persons. Among 1201 participants, 616 incident events of CKD occurred during a median follow-up of 5.6 years. Observed CKD prevalence was 56.9% (95%CI 53.7-60.0) and 48.0% (95%CI 45.2-50.8) in women; 54.0% (95%CI 49.9-58.1) and 49.6% (95%CI 46.0-53.3) in men, across the two periods. Mortality rate was 2.5 (95%CI 1.9-3.3) times as high in women with CKD and 1.6 (95%CI 1.3-2.1) times as high in men with CKD, compared to women or men without CKD. In women, estimated CKD incidence increased linearly from 25.6 (95%CI 4.2-53.0) to 128.6 (95%CI 77.1-196.6) with each 5-year age group up to 69 years, and to 99.8 (95%CI 38.7-204.7) at age ≥70. In men, estimated CKD incidence increased form 28.5 (95%CI 3.8-71.2) at age 20-24 years to 118.7 (95%CI 23.6-336.7) at age ≥70. Age-sex-stratified estimated incidence reflected the magnitude and directional trend of the true incidence and were similar to the true incidence rates (p>0.05 for difference) except for age 20-24 in women (p = 0.008) and age 25-29 in men (p = 0.002). In conclusion, the estimated and observed incidence rates of CKD agree well over 25 years of observation in this well characterized population with type 2 diabetes.
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