Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28148231›Full record

ArticleBMC cancer2017

Cancer mortality in former East and West Germany: a story of unification?

Daniel Medenwald, Dirk Vordermark, Christian T Dietzel

Open access · goldAbstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMC cancer, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
0.7field-weighted citation impact, top 28% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 9 citations in OpenAlex.

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  5. The Burden, Future Trends, And Economic Impact Of Lung Cancer In Saudi Arabia.ClinicoEconomics and outcomes research : CEOR · 2019
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Daniel MedenwaldDepartment of Radiation Oncology, University Hospital Halle (Saale), Ernst-Grube-Str. 40, 06120, Halle (Saale), Germany. daniel.medenwald@uk-halle.de.ORCID 0000-0001-8920-2853
Dirk VordermarkDepartment of Radiation Oncology, University Hospital Halle (Saale), Ernst-Grube-Str. 40, 06120, Halle (Saale), Germany.
Christian T DietzelDepartment of Radiation Oncology, University Hospital Halle (Saale), Ernst-Grube-Str. 40, 06120, Halle (Saale), Germany.
University Hospital in Halle · DE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHealth and social conditions vary between West and East Germany.

methodsWe analyzed annual mortality data of all recorded deaths caused by lung, colorectal, breast and prostate cancer in Germany as they are published by the Federal Bureau of Statistics (FBS) encompassing the period 1980-2014 for former West Germany (WG) and 1990-2014 for former East Germany (EG). To compare East and West Germany we computed the ratio of the mortality rates in both parts (mortality rate ratio, MRR, <1 indicates a lower mortality in EG). Forecasting methods of time series analyses were applied (model selection based on the Box/Jenkins approach) to predict 5-year trends until 2019.

resultsLung cancer: In women mortality rose in both regions (WG: +2.8%, 1991-2014, EG: +2.2%, 1990-2014). In men mortality in WG declined between -2.1% and -1.2%, and by -2.7% (1993-2009) in EG which was followed by a plateau. Colorectal cancer: A decline was found in both WG (-3.1%, 1993-2014) and EG women (-3.8%, 1993-2008 and -2.0%, 2008-2014). A decline in EG men since 1992 (-0.9%, 1992-1997 and -2.3%, 1997-2014) mirrors the development in WG (-2.6%, 1995-2014). Breast cancer: Constant mortality decline in WG after 1996. In EG a decline (-2.4%, 1992-2007) was followed by a plateau with an MRR <1 (1990-2014). Prostate cancer: In WG a decline (-3.4%) came to a hold after 2007, while there was a constant decline of 1.5% in EG. The forecast indicated that mortality of colorectal/lung cancer in men and breast cancer reaches a plateau in future years.

conclusionCourses of mortality were similar between East and West, while existing differences are likely to remain in the near future.

Indexed as

Breast NeoplasmsColorectal NeoplasmsFemaleGermany, EastGermany, WestHumansLung NeoplasmsMaleMortalityPopulation ForecastProstatic Neoplasms

Identifiers

PMID28148231
PMCPMC5288858
OpenAlexW2585078231

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.