Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28141837›Full record

ArticlePloS one2017

Perceived risk of diabetes seriously underestimates actual diabetes risk: The KORA FF4 study.

Bernd Kowall, Wolfgang Rathmann, Andreas Stang, Brenda Bongaerts, Oliver Kuss, Christian Herder, Michael Roden, Anne Quante, Rolf Holle, Cornelia Huth and 2 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 43 papers, 7 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
43citing papers in PubMed, 7 pooled it
6.2field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

43 citing papers in PubMed, 7 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 98 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 7 institutions in 2 countries.

Bernd KowallCenter of Clinical Epidemiology, Institute for Medical Informatics, Biometry and Epidemiology, Medical Faculty, University Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany.
Wolfgang RathmannGerman Diabetes Center, Institute of Biometrics and Epidemiology, Düsseldorf, Germany.
Andreas StangCenter of Clinical Epidemiology, Institute for Medical Informatics, Biometry and Epidemiology, Medical Faculty, University Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany.
Brenda BongaertsGerman Diabetes Center, Institute of Biometrics and Epidemiology, Düsseldorf, Germany.
Oliver KussGerman Diabetes Center, Institute of Biometrics and Epidemiology, Düsseldorf, Germany.
Christian HerderGerman Center for Diabetes Research (DZD), München-Neuherberg, Germany.
Michael RodenGerman Center for Diabetes Research (DZD), München-Neuherberg, Germany.
Anne QuanteInstitute of Medical Informatics, Biometry and Epidemiology, Chair of Genetic Epidemiology, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität, Munich, Germany.
Rolf HolleGerman Center for Diabetes Research (DZD), München-Neuherberg, Germany.
Cornelia HuthGerman Center for Diabetes Research (DZD), München-Neuherberg, Germany.
Annette PetersGerman Center for Diabetes Research (DZD), München-Neuherberg, Germany.
Christa MeisingerGerman Center for Diabetes Research (DZD), München-Neuherberg, Germany.
German Center for Diabetes Research · DEDeutsches Diabetes-Zentrum e.V. · DEHelmholtz Zentrum München · DEUniversity of Duisburg-Essen · DEHeinrich Heine University Düsseldorf · DELudwig-Maximilians-Universität München · DEZimmer Biomet (Germany) · DE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveEarly detection of diabetes and prediabetic states is beneficial for patients, but may be delayed by patients´ being overly optimistic about their own health. Therefore, we assessed how persons without known diabetes perceive their risk of having or developing diabetes, and we identified factors associated with perception of diabetes risk. RESEARCH DESIGN AND

methods1,953 participants without previously known diabetes from the population-based, German KORA FF4 Study (59.1 years, 47.8% men) had an oral glucose tolerance test. They estimated their probability of having undiagnosed diabetes mellitus (UDM) on a six category scale, and assessed whether they were at risk of developing diabetes in the future. We cross-tabulated glycemic status with risk perception, and fitted robust Poisson regression models to identify determinants of diabetes risk perception.

results74% (95% CI: 65-82) of persons with UDM believed that their probability of having undetected diabetes was low or very low. 72% (95% CI: 69-75) of persons with prediabetes believed that they were not at risk of developing diabetes. In people with prediabetes, seeing oneself at risk of diabetes was associated with self-rated poor general health (prevalence ratio (PR) = 3.1 (95% CI: 1.4-6.8), parental diabetes (PR = 2.6, 1.9-3.4), high educational level (PR = 1.9 (1.4-2.5)), lower age (PR = 0.7, 0.6-0.8, per 1 standard deviation increase), female sex (PR = 1.2, 0.9-1.5) and obesity (PR = 1.5, 1.2-2.0).

conclusionsPeople with undiagnosed diabetes or prediabetes considerably underestimate their probability of having or developing diabetes. Contrary to associations with actual diabetes risk, perceived diabetes risk was lower in men, lower educated and older persons.

Indexed as

PerceptionAge FactorsBlood GlucoseDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2Educational StatusFemaleGermanyHumansMaleMiddle AgedRisk FactorsBlood Glucose

Identifiers

PMID28141837
PMCPMC5283734
OpenAlexW2585429122

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.