Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28131666›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of heart and lung transplantation : the official publication of the International Society for Heart Transplantation2017

The utility of 6-minute walk distance in predicting waitlist mortality for lung transplant candidates.

Anthony Castleberry, Michael S Mulvihill, Babatunde A Yerokun, Brian C Gulack, Brian Englum, Laurie Snyder, Mathias Worni, Asishana Osho, Scott Palmer, R Duane Davis and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of heart and lung transplantation : the official publication of the International Society for Heart Transplantation, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Profile of patients referred for lung transplant and their transplant-free survival.Lung India : official organ of Indian Chest Society · 2024
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Anthony CastleberryDivision of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, Department of Surgery, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Michael S MulvihillDivision of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, Department of Surgery, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina, USA. Electronic address: mike.mulvihill@dm.duke.edu.
Babatunde A YerokunDivision of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, Department of Surgery, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Brian C GulackDivision of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, Department of Surgery, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Brian EnglumDivision of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, Department of Surgery, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Laurie SnyderDivision of Advanced Oncologic and GI Surgery, Department of Surgery, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Mathias WorniDivision of Advanced Oncologic and GI Surgery, Department of Surgery, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina, USA; Department of Visceral Surgery and Medicine, Inselspital, Berne University Hospital, Berne, Switzerland.
Asishana OshoDepartment of General Surgery, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Scott PalmerDivision of Pulmonary, Allergy, and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Medicine, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
R Duane DavisCardiovascular Institute, Florida Hospital, Orlando, Florida, USA.
Matthew G HartwigDivision of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, Department of Surgery, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina, USA.

Funding

Cardiothoracic Surgical Network Clinical CenterU01HL088953 · NHLBI · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI SMITH, PETER K · 2007 to 2013
$2.6M
Core Clinical Centers for the CTSNUM1HL088953 · NHLBI · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI SMITH, PETER K · 2013 to 2017
$2.5M
NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL088953NHLBI NIH HHS UM1 HL088953
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe lung allocation score (LAS) has led to improved organ allocation for transplant candidates. At present, the 6-minute walk distance (6MWD) is treated as a binary categorical variable of whether or not a candidate can walk more than 150 feet in 6 minutes. In this study, we tested the hypothesis that 6MWD is presently under-utilized with respect to discriminatory power, and that, as a continuous variable, could better prognosticate risk of waitlist mortality.

methodsA retrospective cohort analysis was performed using the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network/United Network for Organ Sharing (OPTN/UNOS) transplant database. Candidates listed for isolated lung transplant between May 2005 and December 2011 were included. The population was stratified by 6MWD quartiles and unadjusted survival rates were estimated. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards modeling was used to assess the effect of 6MWD on risk of death. The Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (SRTR) Waitlist Risk Model was used to adjust for confounders. The optimal 6MWD for discriminative accuracy in predicting waitlist mortality was assessed by receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves.

resultsAnalysis was performed on 12,298 recipients. Recipients were segregated into quartiles by distance walked. Waitlist mortality decreased as 6MWD increased. In the multivariable model, significant variables included 6MWD, male gender, non-white ethnicity and restrictive lung diseases. ROC curves discriminated 6-month mortality was best at 655 feet.

conclusionsThe 6MWD is a significant predictor of waitlist mortality. A cut-off of 150 feet sub-optimally identifies candidates with increased risk of mortality. A cut-off between 550 and 655 feet is more optimal if 6MWD is to be treated as a dichotomous variable. Utilization of the LAS as a continuous variable could further enhance predictive capabilities.

Indexed as

Exercise ToleranceLung TransplantationWaiting ListsWalk TestAdultExercise TestFemaleHumansLung DiseasesMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsRetrospective StudiesSurvival RateWalking6-minute walk distancecandidate assessmentlung transplantationorgan allocationwaitlist mortality

Identifiers

PMID28131666
PMCPMC5495471

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.