ArticleHealth services research2017
Perspectives: Using Results from HRSA's Health Workforce Simulation Model to Examine the Geography of Primary Care.
Article in Health services research, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
17 citing papers in PubMed.
- Forecasting the physical medicine and rehabilitation workforce through 2037: National and geographic disparities in supply and demand.PM & R : the journal of injury, function, and rehabilitation · 2026Article
- Geographic variation in supply, demand, and adequacy of the obstetrics and gynecology physician workforce: forecasts and shortage risks in the United States.Archives of gynecology and obstetrics · 2026Article
- County health rankings, provider shortages, and the health of incarcerated women with opioid use disorder.The Journal of rural health : official journal of the American Rural Health Association and the National Rural Health Care Association · 2026Article
- Otolaryngology Workforce Projections in the United States, 2021-2036.Laryngoscope investigative otolaryngology · 2025Article
- US Primary Care Workforce Growth: A Decade of Limited Progress, and Projected Needs Through 2040.Journal of general internal medicine · 2025Article
- Geographic Variation of Prevalence of Alzheimer's Disease and Related Dementias in Central Appalachia.Journal of Alzheimer's disease : JAD · 2024Article
- Examining supporting and constraining factors of physicians' acceptance of telemedical online consultations: a survey study.BMC health services research · 2023Article
- The role of restrictive scope-of-practice regulations on the delivery of nurse practitioner-delivered home-based primary care.Journal of the American Geriatrics Society · 2023Article
- Flourishing in Healthcare Trainees: Psychological Well-Being and the Conserved Transcriptional Response to Adversity.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- The workforce for rehabilitation in primary health care in Brazil.Human resources for health · 2021Article
- Nurse Practitioner Scope-of-Practice Laws and Opioid Prescribing.The Milbank quarterly · 2021Article
- Impact of nonphysician providers on spatial accessibility to primary care in Iowa.Health services research · 2020Article
- Medication adherence, costs, and ER visits of nurse practitioner and primary care physician patients: Evidence from three cohorts of Medicare beneficiaries.Health services research · 2019Article
- What will make a difference? Assessing the impact of policy and non-policy scenarios on estimations of the future GP workforce.Human resources for health · 2017Article
- The Epicenter of Effectiveness and Efficiency in Health Care Delivery: The Evolving U.S. Health Workforce.Health services research · 2017Article
- Organizational Support for Nurse Practitioners in Primary Care and Workforce Outcomes.Nursing researchArticle
- Nurse Practitioner Involvement in Medicare Accountable Care Organizations: Association With Quality of Care.American journal of medical quality : the official journal of the American College of Medical QualityArticle
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
objectiveInform health planning and policy discussions by describing Health Resources and Services Administration's (HRSA's) Health Workforce Simulation Model (HWSM) and examining the HWSM's 2025 supply and demand projections for primary care physicians, nurse practitioners (NPs), and physician assistants (PAs). DATA SOURCES: HRSA's recently published projections for primary care providers derive from an integrated microsimulation model that estimates health workforce supply and demand at national, regional, and state levels. PRINCIPAL
findingsThirty-seven states are projected to have shortages of primary care physicians in 2025, and nine states are projected to have shortages of both primary care physicians and PAs. While no state is projected to have a 2025 shortage of primary care NPs, many states are expected to have only a small surplus.
conclusionsPrimary care physician shortages are projected for all parts of the United States, while primary care PA shortages are generally confined to Midwestern and Southern states. No state is projected to have shortages of all three provider types. Projected shortages must be considered in the context of baseline assumptions regarding current supply, demand, provider-service ratios, and other factors. Still, these findings suggest geographies with possible primary care workforce shortages in 2025 and offer opportunities for targeting efforts to enhance workforce flexibility.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.