Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28122032›Full record

ArticlePloS one2017

Approaches to Predicting Outcomes in Patients with Acute Kidney Injury.

Danielle Saly, Alina Yang, Corey Triebwasser, Janice Oh, Qisi Sun, Jeffrey Testani, Chirag R Parikh, Joshua Bia, Aditya Biswas, Chess Stetson and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Observational
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Observational
  10. Review
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Danielle SalyYale University School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, United States of America.
Alina YangYale University School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, United States of America.
Corey TriebwasserYale University School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, United States of America.
Janice OhYale University School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, United States of America.
Qisi SunYale University School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, United States of America.
Jeffrey TestaniYale University School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, United States of America.
Chirag R ParikhYale University School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, United States of America.
Joshua BiaProgram of Applied Translational Research, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, United States of America.
Aditya BiswasProgram of Applied Translational Research, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, United States of America.
Chess StetsonHelynx, Inc, Altadena, CA, United States of America.
Kris ChaisanguanthumHelynx, Inc, Altadena, CA, United States of America.
F Perry WilsonYale University School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, United States of America.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2633-2412

Funding

Yale Clinical and Translational Science Award (U Component)UL1TR001863 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI John H. Krystal, LUCILA OHNO-MACHADO · 2016 to 2026
$102.9M
Mediators & prognostic value of muscle mass & function in chronic kidney diseaseK23DK097201 · NIDDK · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI WILSON, FRANCIS PERRY · 2013 to 2017
$916k
Mentoring Program for Translational and Patient Oriented Research in AKIK24DK090203 · NIDDK · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI PARIKH, CHIRAG R · 2012 to 2016
$896k
Cardio-renal phenotype and prognosis in chronic heart failureK23HL114868 · NHLBI · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI TESTANI, JEFFREY M · 2012 to 2017
$845k
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001863NHLBI NIH HHS K23 HL114868NHLBI NIH HHS L30 HL115790NIDDK NIH HHS K23 DK097201NIDDK NIH HHS K24 DK090203
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Despite recognition that Acute Kidney Injury (AKI) leads to substantial increases in morbidity, mortality, and length of stay, accurate prognostication of these clinical events remains difficult. It remains unclear which approaches to variable selection and model building are most robust. We used data from a randomized trial of AKI alerting to develop time-updated prognostic models using stepwise regression compared to more advanced variable selection techniques. We randomly split data into training and validation cohorts. Outcomes of interest were death within 7 days, dialysis within 7 days, and length of stay. Data elements eligible for model-building included lab values, medications and dosages, procedures, and demographics. We assessed model discrimination using the area under the receiver operator characteristic curve and r-squared values. 2241 individuals were available for analysis. Both modeling techniques created viable models with very good discrimination ability, with AUCs exceeding 0.85 for dialysis and 0.8 for death prediction. Model performance was similar across model building strategies, though the strategy employing more advanced variable selection was more parsimonious. Very good to excellent prediction of outcome events is feasible in patients with AKI. More advanced techniques may lead to more parsimonious models, which may facilitate adoption in other settings.

Indexed as

Models, TheoreticalRenal DialysisAcute Kidney InjuryAgedFemaleHumansLength of StayMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsPrognosisRisk AssessmentTime Factors

Identifiers

PMID28122032
PMCPMC5266278

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.