Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28121944›Full record

SynthesisMedicine2017

Progression rate of ankylosing spondylitis in patients with undifferentiated spondyloarthritis: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Qing Xia, Dazhi Fan, Xiao Yang, Xiaona Li, Xu Zhang, Mengmeng Wang, Shengqian Xu, Faming Pan

Abstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Medicine, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Observational
  5. Epidemiology of axial spondyloarthritis: an update.Current opinion in rheumatology · 2018
    Review
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Qing XiaDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui Department of Obstetrics, South Medical University Affiliated Maternal and Child Health Hospital of Foshan, Foshan, Guangdong Department of Rheumatism and Immunity, the First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, China.
Dazhi Fan
Xiao Yang
Xiaona Li
Xu Zhang
Mengmeng Wang
Shengqian Xu
Faming Pan

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe idea that undifferentiated spondyloarthritis (uSpA) represents the early undifferentiated stage of ankylosing spondylitis (AS) and other well-defined SpA subtypes is well known. The gist of this study is to assess the rate estimate of patients with uSpA evolved to AS during long-term follow-up.

methodsA systematic search was implemented to identify pertinent articles. The primary outcome was the rate estimate that patients with uSpA fulfilling the diagnosis of AS according to the modified New York criteria during follow-up. The rate estimate and corresponding 95% confidence interval (95%CI) were pooled by the random-effects model in STATA 11.0 software. Meta-regression analyses were adopted to explore the sources of heterogeneity. The quality assessment was conducted by the National Institutes of Health Quality Assessment Tool for Observational Cohort and Cross-Sectional Studies and the Begg test and the Egger test were applied to assess publication bias.

resultsSixteen papers were finally included in this study after screening 1299 citations. The pooled rate of patients with uSpA progression to AS synthesized from the 16 papers was 0.323 (95%CI 0.257-0.389). Subgroup analysis based on the length of follow-up showed that the rate at the time-point of 5, 8, and 10 years follow-up was 0.220 (95%CI 0.110-0.330), 0.291 (95%CI 0.257-0.325), and 0.399 (95%CI 0.190-0.608), respectively; while the rate in Asia, Europe, and Latin America was 0.367 (95%CI 0.282-0.452), 0.228 (95%CI 0.066-0.390), and 0.269 (95%CI 0.209-0.329), respectively. Meta-regression analysis indicated that the length of follow-up alone accounts for 45.23% of the total heterogeneity. Nearly half of the papers scored fair quality and none publication bias was identified based on the Begg test and the Egger test. Further, line chart describes an obviously increased trend for the patients with uSpA fulfilling the diagnosis of AS over time.

conclusionThe progression rate of patients with uSpA evolved into AS was variable in different time-point, this variation can mostly be explained by the length of follow-up. Thus, more studies with similar time point of follow-up are needed to clarify the full spectrum of uSpA.

Indexed as

Spondylitis, AnkylosingDisease ProgressionHumans

Identifiers

PMID28121944
PMCPMC5287968

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.