Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28118530›Full record

ArticleArthritis care & research2017

Current Risk Adjustment and Comorbidity Index Underperformance in Predicting Post-Acute Utilization and Hospital Readmissions After Joint Replacements: Implications for Comprehensive Care for Joint Replacement Model.

Amit Kumar, Amol Karmarkar, Brian Downer, Amit Vashist, Deepak Adhikari, Soham Al Snih, Kenneth Ottenbacher

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Arthritis care & research, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
2.1field-weighted citation impact, top 11% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 29 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Amit KumarCenter for Gerontology and Health Care Research, School of Public Health, Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island.
Amol KarmarkarUniversity of Texas Medical Branch, Galveston.
Brian DownerUniversity of Texas Medical Branch, Galveston.
Amit VashistMountain States Health Alliance, Johnson City, Tennessee.
Deepak AdhikariUniversity of Texas Medical Branch, Galveston.
Soham Al SnihUniversity of Texas Medical Branch, Galveston.
Kenneth OttenbacherUniversity of Texas Medical Branch, Galveston.
The University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston · USBrown University · US

Funding

Technique Development CoreP2CHD065702 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS MED BR GALVESTON · PI GOODWIN, MD, JAMES S. · 2015 to 2019
$5.2M
Center for Rehabilitation Research Using Large DatasetsR24HD065702 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS MED BR GALVESTON · PI OTTENBACHER, KENNETH J. · 2010 to 2014
$4.0M
Hospital Readmission and Inpatient Medical RehabilitationR01HD069443 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS MED BR GALVESTON · PI OTTENBACHER, KENNETH J. · 2012 to 2015
$927k
Comparing Access and Effectiveness of Post-Acute Care Settings Among Medicare BeneficiariesK01HD086290 · NICHD · VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH UNIVERSITY · PI KARMARKAR, AMOL · 2016 to 2020
$636k
NICHD NIH HHS K01 HD086290NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD065702NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD069443NICHD NIH HHS R24 HD065702
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo compare the performances of 3 comorbidity indices, the Charlson Comorbidity Index, the Elixhauser Comorbidity Index, and the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) risk adjustment model, Hierarchical Condition Category (HCC), in predicting post-acute discharge settings and hospital readmission for patients after joint replacement.

methodsA retrospective study of Medicare beneficiaries with total knee replacement (TKR) or total hip replacement (THR) discharged from hospitals in 2009-2011 (n = 607,349) was performed. Study outcomes were post-acute discharge setting and unplanned 30-, 60-, and 90-day hospital readmissions. Logistic regression models were built to compare the performance of the 3 comorbidity indices using C statistics. The base model included patient demographics and hospital use. Subsequent models included 1 of the 3 comorbidity indices. Additional multivariable logistic regression models were built to identify individual comorbid conditions associated with high risk of hospital readmissions.

resultsThe 30-, 60-, and 90-day unplanned hospital readmission rates were 5.3%, 7.2%, and 8.5%, respectively. Patients were most frequently discharged to home health (46.3%), followed by skilled nursing facility (40.9%) and inpatient rehabilitation facility (12.7%). The C statistics for the base model in predicting post-acute discharge setting and 30-, 60-, and 90-day readmission in TKR and THR were between 0.63 and 0.67. Adding the Charlson Comorbidity Index, the Elixhauser Comorbidity Index, or HCC increased the C statistic minimally from the base model for predicting both discharge settings and hospital readmission. The health conditions most frequently associated with hospital readmission were diabetes mellitus, pulmonary disease, arrhythmias, and heart disease.

conclusionThe comorbidity indices and CMS-HCC demonstrated weak discriminatory ability to predict post-acute discharge settings and hospital readmission following joint replacement.

Indexed as

Patient Acceptance of Health CareAgedAged, 80 and overArthroplasty, ReplacementComorbidityComprehensive Health CareFemaleForecastingHumansLogistic ModelsMaleMedicarePatient ReadmissionRetrospective StudiesRisk AdjustmentUnited States

Identifiers

PMID28118530
PMCPMC5524616
OpenAlexW2581755613

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.