Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28102610›Full record

SynthesisTropical medicine & international health : TM & IH2017

Outcomes of HIV-positive patients lost to follow-up in African treatment programmes.

Kathrin Zürcher, Anne Mooser, Nanina Anderegg, Olga Tymejczyk, Margaret J Couvillon, Denis Nash, Matthias Egger, IeDEA and MESH consortia

Registry-linked trialAbstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Tropical medicine & international health : TM & IH, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT03848728 (Strategic Antiretroviral Therapy and HIV Testing for Youth in Rural Africa), which is not on this map. Cited by 76 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
76citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT03848728 nacompletednot on this mapstarted 2019, after this paper: background citation

Strategic Antiretroviral Therapy and HIV Testing for Youth in Rural Africa

TypeinterventionalSponsorUniversity of California, San FranciscoRan2019 to 2023Enrolled1,988ConditionsHIVArmsSEARCH Youth combination intervention
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

76 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  4. Outcomes of Patients Lost to Follow-up in African Antiretroviral Therapy Programs: Individual Patient Data Meta-analysis.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2018
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16 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Kathrin ZürcherInstitute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
Anne MooserInstitute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
Nanina AndereggInstitute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
Olga TymejczykInstitute for Implementation Science in Population Health, City University of New York, New York, NY, USA.
Margaret J CouvillonInstitute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
Denis NashInstitute for Implementation Science in Population Health, City University of New York, New York, NY, USA.
Matthias EggerInstitute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
IeDEA and MESH consortia

Funding

Observational Antiretroviral Studies In Southern Africa (OASIS) CollaborationU01AI069924 · NIAID · UNIVERSITAT BERN · PI Cleophas Chimbetete, Mary-Ann Davies · 2006 to 2026
$55.9M
The Statistics, Data Science, and Data Management (SDM) CoreP30MH043520 · NIMH · NEW YORK STATE PSYCHIATRIC INSTITUTE DBA RESEARCH FOUNDATION FOR MENTAL HYGIENE, INC · PI Claude Ann Mellins · 2003 to 2026
$48.2M
"Enhancing Cancer Research in Central Africa IeDEA"U01AI096299 · NIAID · ALBERT EINSTEIN COLLEGE OF MEDICINE, INC · PI Denis Nash, Marcel Yotebieng · 2011 to 2026
$35.8M
NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI069924NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI096299NIMH NIH HHS P30 MH043520
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThe retention of patients on antiretroviral therapy (ART) is key to achieving global targets in response to the HIV epidemic. Loss to follow-up (LTFU) can be substantial, with unknown outcomes for patients lost to ART programmes. We examined changes in outcomes of patients LTFU over calendar time, assessed associations with other study and programme characteristics and investigated the relative success of different tracing methods.

methodsWe performed a systematic review and logistic random-effects meta-regression analysis of studies that traced adults or children who started ART and were LTFU in sub-Saharan African treatment programmes. The primary outcome was mortality, and secondary outcomes were undocumented transfer to another programme, treatment interruption and the success of tracing attempts.

resultsWe included 32 eligible studies from 12 countries in sub-Saharan Africa: 20 365 patients LTFU were traced, and 15 708 patients (77.1%) were found. Compared to telephone calls, tracing that included home visits increased the probability of success: the adjusted odds ratio (aOR) was 9.35 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.85-47.31). The risk of death declined over calendar time (aOR per 1-year increase 0.86, 95% CI 0.78-0.95), whereas undocumented transfers (aOR 1.13, 95% CI 0.96-1.34) and treatment interruptions (aOR 1.31, 95% CI 1.18-1.45) tended to increase. Mortality was lower in urban than in rural areas (aOR 0.59, 95% CI 0.36-0.98), but there was no difference in mortality between adults and children. The CD4 cell count at the start of ART increased over time.

conclusionsMortality among HIV-positive patients who started ART in sub-Saharan Africa, were lost to programmes and were successfully traced has declined substantially during the scale-up of ART, probably driven by less severe immunodeficiency at the start of therapy.

Indexed as

Delivery of Health CareLost to Follow-UpAdultAfrica South of the SaharaAnti-HIV AgentsChildHIV InfectionsHumansAnti-HIV AgentsÁfrica subsaharianaAfrique subsaharienneantiretroviral therapyHIVloss to follow-upmortalidadmortalitémortalitypérdida durante el seguimientoperte au suivisub-Saharan Africaterapia antirretroviralthérapie antirétroviraleVIH

Identifiers

PMID28102610
PMCPMC5580236

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.