Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28088843›Full record

ArticleStatistics in medicine2017

Evaluating surrogate marker information using censored data.

Layla Parast, Tianxi Cai, Lu Tian

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Statistics in medicine, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed.

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  6. Robust evaluation of longitudinal surrogate markers with censored data.Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B, Statistical methodology · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Layla ParastRAND Corporation, 1776 Main Street, Santa Monica, 90401, CA, U.S.A.
Tianxi CaiDepartment of Biostatistics, Harvard University, Boston, 02115, MA, U.S.A.
Lu TianDepartment of Health, Research and Policy, Stanford University, Stanford, 94305, CA, U.S.A.

Funding

TrainingU54HG007963 · NHGRI · HARVARD MEDICAL SCHOOL · PI KOHANE, ISAAC S., MURPHY, SHAWN N · 2014 to 2018
$18.3M
Robust Statistical Methods to Identify and Use Surrogate Markers in DiabetesR01DK118354 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS AT AUSTIN · PI PARAST, LAYLA · 2018 to 2025
$2.0M
Robust Statistical Methods to Identify Surrogate Markers in DiabetesR21DK103118 · NIDDK · RAND CORPORATION · PI PARAST, LAYLA · 2014 to 2015
$476k
CDC HHSNHGRI NIH HHS U54 HG007963NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK118354NIDDK NIH HHS R21 DK103118
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Given the long follow-up periods that are often required for treatment or intervention studies, the potential to use surrogate markers to decrease the required follow-up time is a very attractive goal. However, previous studies have shown that using inadequate markers or making inappropriate assumptions about the relationship between the primary outcome and surrogate marker can lead to inaccurate conclusions regarding the treatment effect. Currently available methods for identifying and validating surrogate markers tend to rely on restrictive model assumptions and/or focus on uncensored outcomes. The ability to use such methods in practice when the primary outcome of interest is a time-to-event outcome is difficult because of censoring and missing surrogate information among those who experience the primary outcome before surrogate marker measurement. In this paper, we propose a novel definition of the proportion of treatment effect explained by surrogate information collected up to a specified time in the setting of a time-to-event primary outcome. Our proposed approach accommodates a setting where individuals may experience the primary outcome before the surrogate marker is measured. We propose a robust non-parametric procedure to estimate the defined quantity using censored data and use a perturbation-resampling procedure for variance estimation. Simulation studies demonstrate that the proposed procedures perform well in finite samples. We illustrate the proposed procedures by investigating two potential surrogate markers for diabetes using data from the Diabetes Prevention Program. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Indexed as

Data Interpretation, StatisticalTreatment OutcomeBiomarkersCausalityHumansModels, StatisticalProbabilityStatistics, NonparametricBiomarkersnon-parametric methodsrobust proceduressmoothingsurvival analysis

Identifiers

PMID28088843
PMCPMC5413393

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.