Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28077161›Full record

ArticleParasites & vectors2017

Mathematical modelling of Echinococcus multilocularis abundance in foxes in Zurich, Switzerland.

Belen Otero-Abad, Simon R Rüegg, Daniel Hegglin, Peter Deplazes, Paul R Torgerson

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Parasites & vectors, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.8field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 26 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  8. Mathematical Global Dynamics and Control Strategies onComputational and mathematical methods in medicine · 2019
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Belen Otero-AbadSection for Veterinary Epidemiology, Vetsuisse Faculty, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
Simon R RüeggSection for Veterinary Epidemiology, Vetsuisse Faculty, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
Daniel HegglinInstitute of Parasitology, Vetsuisse Faculty, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
Peter DeplazesInstitute of Parasitology, Vetsuisse Faculty, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
Paul R TorgersonSection for Veterinary Epidemiology, Vetsuisse Faculty, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland. paul.torgerson@access.uzh.ch.
University of Zurich · CH

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn Europe, the red fox (Vulpes vulpes) is the main definitive host of Echinococcus multilocularis, the aetiological agent of a severe disease in humans called alveolar echinococcosis. The distribution of this zoonotic parasite among the fox population is remarkably aggregated with few heavily infected animals harbouring much of the parasite burdens and being responsible for most of the environmental parasitic egg contamination. Important research questions explored were: (i) spatial differences in parasite infection pressure related to the level of urbanization; (ii) temporal differences in parasite infection pressure in relation to time of the year; (iii) is herd immunity or an age-dependent infection pressure responsible for the observed parasite abundance; (iv) assuming E. multilocularis infection is a clumped process, how many parasites results from a regular infection insult.

methodsBy developing and comparing different transmission models we characterised the spatio-temporal variation of the infection pressure, in terms of numbers of parasites that foxes acquired after exposure per unit time, in foxes in Zurich (Switzerland). These included the variations in infection pressure with age of fox and season and the possible regulating effect of herd immunity on parasite abundance.

resultsThe model fitting best to the observed data supported the existence of spatial and seasonal differences in infection pressure and the absence of parasite-induced host immunity. The periodic infection pressure had different amplitudes across urbanization zones with higher peaks during autumn and winter. In addition, the model indicated the existence of variations in infection pressure among age groups in foxes from the periurban zone.

conclusionsThese heterogeneities in infection exposure have strong implications for the implementation of targeted control interventions to lower the intensity of environmental contamination with parasite eggs and, ultimately, the infection risk to humans.

Indexed as

FoxesModels, BiologicalAnimalsEchinococcosisEchinococcus multilocularisFecesFemaleHumansMaleSwitzerlandZoonosesAlveolar echinococcosisEchinococcus multilocularisEpidemiologyMathematical modellingTransmission

Identifiers

PMID28077161
PMCPMC5225524
OpenAlexW2579559610

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.