Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28062643›Full record

ArticleJournal of epidemiology and community health2017

Visualising and quantifying 'excess deaths' in Scotland compared with the rest of the UK and the rest of Western Europe.

Jon Minton, Richard Shaw, Mark A Green, Laura Vanderbloemen, Frank Popham, Gerry McCartney

Open access · hybridAbstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of epidemiology and community health, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
5.0field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 27 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Long-term costs associated with healthcare use of people with cancer in Scotland.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.

Jon MintonCollege of Social Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-1207-6259
Richard ShawMRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-7906-6066
Mark A GreenSchool of Environmental Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
Laura VanderbloemenFaculty of Medicine, Department of Primary Care and Public Health, Imperial College, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-6116-6018
Frank PophamMRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.
Gerry McCartneyNHS Health Scotland, Glasgow, UK.
MRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit · GBImperial College London · GBPublic Health Scotland · GBUniversity of Glasgow · GBUniversity of Liverpool · GB

Funding

Chief Scientist Office MC_UU_12017/7Medical Research Council MC_UU_12017/7Medical Research Council MR/K025023/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundScotland has higher mortality rates than the rest of Western Europe (rWE), with more cardiovascular disease and cancer among older adults; and alcohol-related and drug-related deaths, suicide and violence among younger adults.

methodsWe obtained sex, age-specific and year-specific all-cause mortality rates for Scotland and other populations, and explored differences in mortality both visually and numerically.

resultsScotland's age-specific mortality was higher than the rest of the UK (rUK) since 1950, and has increased. Between the 1950s and 2000s, 'excess deaths' by age 80 per 100 000 population associated with living in Scotland grew from 4341 to 7203 compared with rUK, and from 4132 to 8828 compared with rWE. UK-wide mortality risk compared with rWE also increased, from 240 'excess deaths' in the 1950s to 2320 in the 2000s. Cohorts born in the 1940s and 1950s throughout the UK including Scotland had lower mortality risk than comparable rWE populations, especially for males. Mortality rates were higher in Scotland than rUK and rWE among younger adults from the 1990s onwards suggesting an age-period interaction.

conclusionsWorsening mortality among young adults in the past 30 years reversed a relative advantage evident for those born between 1950 and 1960. Compared with rWE, Scotland and rUK have followed similar trends but Scotland has started from a worse position and had worse working age-period effects in the 1990s and 2000s.

Indexed as

Attitude to HealthHealth StatusAgedAged, 80 and overCause of DeathFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedMorbidityMortalityScotlandSocial ClassSocioeconomic FactorsUnited KingdomVulnerable PopulationsDEMOGRAPHYGEOGRAPHYHealth inequalitiesLife course epidemiologyMETHODOLOGY

Identifiers

PMID28062643
PMCPMC5484031
OpenAlexW2570226123

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.