Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28040731›Full record

ArticleHuman molecular genetics2017

Quantifying the extent to which index event biases influence large genetic association studies.

Hanieh Yaghootkar, Michael P Bancks, Sam E Jones, Aaron McDaid, Robin Beaumont, Louise Donnelly, Andrew R Wood, Archie Campbell, Jessica Tyrrell, Lynne J Hocking and 12 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Human molecular genetics, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 32 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
32citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

32 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Human height: a model common complex trait.Annals of human biology · 2023
    Review
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Criteria for evaluating risk prediction of multiple outcomes.Statistical methods in medical research · 2020
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. The Māori and Pacific specific CREBRF variant and adult height.International journal of obesity (2005) · 2020
    Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

22 authors.

Hanieh YaghootkarGenetics of Complex Traits, University of Exeter Medical School, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.
Michael P BancksDivision of Epidemiology and Community Health, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
Sam E JonesGenetics of Complex Traits, University of Exeter Medical School, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.
Aaron McDaidInstitute of Social and Preventive Medicine, Lausanne University Hospital, Lausanne 1010, Switzerland.
Robin BeaumontGenetics of Complex Traits, University of Exeter Medical School, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.
Louise DonnellyDivision of Cardiovascular & Diabetes Medicine, Medical Research Institute, University of Dundee, Dundee, Scotland, UK.
Andrew R WoodGenetics of Complex Traits, University of Exeter Medical School, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.
Archie CampbellGeneration Scotland, Centre for Genomic and Experimental Medicine, Institute of Genetics and Molecular Medicine, University of Edinburgh, Western General Hospital, Crewe Road, Edinburgh, UK.
Jessica TyrrellGenetics of Complex Traits, University of Exeter Medical School, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.
Lynne J HockingInstitute of Medical Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, UK.
Marcus A TukeGenetics of Complex Traits, University of Exeter Medical School, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.
Katherine S RuthGenetics of Complex Traits, University of Exeter Medical School, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.
Ewan R PearsonDivision of Cardiovascular & Diabetes Medicine, Medical Research Institute, University of Dundee, Dundee, Scotland, UK.
Anna MurrayGenetics of Complex Traits, University of Exeter Medical School, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.
Rachel M FreathyGenetics of Complex Traits, University of Exeter Medical School, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.
Patricia B MunroeClinical Pharmacology, William Harvey Research Institute, Barts and The London School of Medicine and Dentistry, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK.
Caroline HaywardGeneration Scotland, MRC Human Genetics Unit, Institute of Genetics and Molecular Medicine, University of Edinburgh, Western General Hospital, Crewe Road, Edinburgh, UK.
Colin PalmerDivision of Cardiovascular & Diabetes Medicine, Medical Research Institute, University of Dundee, Dundee, Scotland, UK.
Michael N WeedonGenetics of Complex Traits, University of Exeter Medical School, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.
James S PankowDivision of Epidemiology and Community Health, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
Timothy M FraylingGenetics of Complex Traits, University of Exeter Medical School, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.
Zoltán KutalikInstitute of Social and Preventive Medicine, Lausanne University Hospital, Lausanne 1010, Switzerland.

Funding

Institute for Clinical and Translational Research (UL1)UL1RR025005 · NCRR · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI FORD, DANIEL ERNEST · 2007 to 2011
$75.8M
Genome-Wide Association Analysis in Essential Hypertension (FEHGAS study)R01HL086694 · NHLBI · NEW YORK UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE · PI ARAVINDA CHAKRAVARTI · 2007 to 2026
$21.2M
Epidemiology of Venous Thrombosis & Pulmonary EmbolismR01HL059367 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA TWIN CITIES · PI TANG, WEIHONG · 1998 to 2024
$11.8M
Cardiovascular Disease Epidemiology &Prevention TrngT32HL007779 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA TWIN CITIES · PI PAMELA L. Lutsey, JAMES S PANKOW · 1994 to 2026
$9.3M
GWA for Gene-Environment Interaction Effects Influencing CHDU01HG004402 · NHGRI · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS HLTH SCI CTR HOUSTON · PI BOERWINKLE, ERIC A. · 2007 to 2009
$1.6M
Chief Scientist Office CZD/16/6/4Medical Research Council G0500070Medical Research Council G0601261Medical Research Council MC_PC_U127561128Medical Research Council MC_QA137853Medical Research Council MR/M005070/1NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR025005NHGRI NIH HHS U01 HG004402NHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100005CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100005GNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100005INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100006CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100008CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100008INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100009CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100009INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100012CNHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL059367NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL086694NHLBI NIH HHS T32 HL007779Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 102820/Z/13/ZWellcome Trust WT097835MF
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

As genetic association studies increase in size to 100 000s of individuals, subtle biases may influence conclusions. One possible bias is 'index event bias' (IEB) that appears due to the stratification by, or enrichment for, disease status when testing associations between genetic variants and a disease-associated trait. We aimed to test the extent to which IEB influences some known trait associations in a range of study designs and provide a statistical framework for assessing future associations. Analyzing data from 113 203 non-diabetic UK Biobank participants, we observed three (near TCF7L2, CDKN2AB and CDKAL1) overestimated (body mass index (BMI) decreasing) and one (near MTNR1B) underestimated (BMI increasing) associations among 11 type 2 diabetes risk alleles (at P  <  0.05). IEB became even stronger when we tested a type 2 diabetes genetic risk score composed of these 11 variants (-0.010 standard deviations BMI per allele, P  =  5 × 10- 4), which was confirmed in four additional independent studies. Similar results emerged when examining the effect of blood pressure increasing alleles on BMI in normotensive UK Biobank samples. Furthermore, we demonstrated that, under realistic scenarios, common disease alleles would become associated at P <  5 × 10- 8 with disease-related traits through IEB alone, if disease prevalence in the sample differs appreciably from the background population prevalence. For example, some hypertension and type 2 diabetes alleles will be associated with BMI in sample sizes of  >500 000 if the prevalence of those diseases differs by >10% from the background population. In conclusion, IEB may result in false positive or negative genetic associations in very large studies stratified or strongly enriched for/against disease cases.

Indexed as

Genetic Association StudiesGenetic Predisposition to DiseaseAllelesBlood GlucoseBody Mass IndexDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2GenotypeHumansHypertensionObesityPolymorphism, Single NucleotideBlood Glucose

Identifiers

PMID28040731
PMCPMC5661557

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.