Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28032264›Full record

ArticleDemography2017

The Effect of Childhood Family Size on Fertility in Adulthood: New Evidence From IV Estimation.

Sara Cools, Rannveig Kaldager Hart

Abstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Demography, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Only Children and Low Family Size Ideals: Did the One-Child Policy Create a "Low-Fertility Trap" in China?European journal of population = Revue europeenne de demographie · 2025
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Educational Expansions and Fertility: Evidence from Norwegian College Reforms.European journal of population = Revue europeenne de demographie · 2025
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Sara CoolsInstitute for Social Research, Oslo, Norway.
Rannveig Kaldager HartDepartment of Sociology and Human Geography, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway. r.k.hart@sosiologi.uio.no.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Although fertility is positively correlated across generations, the causal effect of children's experience with larger sibships on their own fertility in adulthood is poorly understood. With the sex composition of the two firstborn children as an instrumental variable, we estimate the effect of sibship size on adult fertility using high-quality data from Norwegian administrative registers. Our study sample is all firstborns or second-borns during the 1960s in Norwegian families with at least two children (approximately 110,000 men and 104,000 women). An additional sibling has a positive effect on male fertility, mainly causing them to have three children themselves, but has a negative effect on female fertility at the same margin. Investigation into mediators reveals that mothers of girls shift relatively less time from market to family work when an additional child is born. We speculate that this scarcity in parents' time makes girls aware of the strains of life in large families, leading them to limit their own number of children in adulthood.

Indexed as

Family CharacteristicsAdultFemaleHumansMaleMaternal AgeNorwaySex FactorsSex RatioSocioeconomic FactorsFamily sizeFertilityInstrumental variablesIntergenerational transmission

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.