Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28029373›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of surgery2017

Discharge decision-making after complex surgery: Surgeon behaviors compared to predictive modeling to reduce surgical readmissions.

Ira L Leeds, Vjollca Sadiraj, James C Cox, Xiaoxue Sherry Gao, Timothy M Pawlik, Kurt E Schnier, John F Sweeney

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of surgery, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Predicting Colorectal Surgery Readmission Risk: a Surgery-Specific Predictive Model.IISE transactions on healthcare systems engineering · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Ira L LeedsDepartment of Surgery, The Johns Hopkins Hospital, 600 N Wolfe Street, Tower 110, Baltimore, MD 21287, USA; Department of Surgery, Emory University School of Medicine, 201 Dowman Drive, Atlanta, GA 30322, USA. Electronic address: ileeds@jhmi.edu.
Vjollca SadirajDepartment of Economics and Experimental Economics Center, Georgia State University, 14 Marietta Street NW, Atlanta, GA 30303, USA.
James C CoxDepartment of Economics and Experimental Economics Center, Georgia State University, 14 Marietta Street NW, Atlanta, GA 30303, USA.
Xiaoxue Sherry GaoDepartment of Economics and Experimental Economics Center, Georgia State University, 14 Marietta Street NW, Atlanta, GA 30303, USA.
Timothy M PawlikDepartment of Surgery, The Johns Hopkins Hospital, 600 N Wolfe Street, Tower 110, Baltimore, MD 21287, USA.
Kurt E SchnierSchool of Social Sciences, Humanities and Arts, University of California - Merced, 5200 N Lake Road, Merced, CA 95343, USA.
John F SweeneyDepartment of Surgery, Emory University School of Medicine, 201 Dowman Drive, Atlanta, GA 30322, USA.

Funding

Uptake of Comparative Effectiveness Research: Implications for Discharge DecisionRC4AG039071 · NIA · EMORY UNIVERSITY · PI COX, JAMES CONNOR, SWEENEY, JOHN F · 2010 to 2010
$1.2M
NIA NIH HHS RC4 AG039071
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLittle is known about how information available at discharge affects decision-making and its effect on readmission. We sought to define the association between information used for discharge and patients' subsequent risk of readmission.

methods2009-2014 patients from a tertiary academic medical center's surgical services were analyzed using a time-to-event model to identify criteria that statistically explained the timing of discharges. The data were subsequently used to develop a time-varying prediction model of unplanned hospital readmissions. These models were validated and statistically compared.

resultsThe predictive discharge and readmission regression models were generated from a database of 20,970 patients totaling 115,976 patient-days with 1,565 readmissions (7.5%). 22 daily clinical measures were significant in both regression models. Both models demonstrated good discrimination (C statistic = 0.8 for all models). Comparison of discharge behaviors versus the predictive readmission model suggested important discordance with certain clinical measures (e.g., demographics, laboratory values) not being accounted for to optimize discharges.

conclusionsDecision-support tools for discharge may utilize variables that are not routinely considered by healthcare providers. How providers will then respond to these atypical findings may affect implementation.

Indexed as

Attitude of Health PersonnelDecision Making, Computer-AssistedAcademic Medical CentersAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAlgorithmsCohort StudiesDatabases, FactualDecision Support TechniquesFemaleHumansIncidenceLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle AgedComputer-assisted decision-makingDecision supportHospital readmissionLogit model

Identifiers

PMID28029373
PMCPMC5362294

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.