ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2017
Reversal of a cyanobacterial bloom in response to early warnings.
Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers.
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Who cites it
23 citing papers in PubMed.
- Mixed Evidence for Species Diversity Affecting Ecological Forecasts in Constant Versus Declining Light.Global change biology · 2025Article
- FateNet: an integration of dynamical systems and deep learning for cell fate prediction.Bioinformatics (Oxford, England) · 2024Article
- Predicting discrete-time bifurcations with deep learning.Nature communications · 2023Article
- Early warnings for multi-stage transitions in dynamics on networks.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2023Article
- Long-range dependence and extreme values of precipitation, phosphorus load, and Cyanobacteria.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022Article
- A whole-ecosystem experiment reveals flow-induced shifts in a stream community.Communications biology · 2022Article
- Development of a Risk Characterization Tool for Harmful Cyanobacteria Blooms on the Ohio River.Water · 2022Article
- Vulnerable Waters are Essential to Watershed Resilience.Ecosystems (New York, N.Y.) · 2022Article
- Structure-based identification of sensor species for anticipating critical transitions.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2021Article
- Assessing cyanobacterial frequency and abundance at surface waters near drinking water intakes across the United States.Water research · 2021Article
- Suppression of phosphorus release from sediment using lanthanum carbonate as amendment.Environmental science and pollution research international · 2021Article
- Forecasting resilience profiles of the run-up to regime shifts in nearly-one-dimensional systems.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2020Article
- Detecting and distinguishing tipping points using spectral early warning signals.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2020Article
- Tipping positive change.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2020Review
- Long-term digital device-enabled monitoring of functional status: Implications for management of persons with Alzheimer's disease.Alzheimer's & dementia (New York, N. Y.) · 2020Article
- Article
- Feedback Regulation between Aquatic Microorganisms and the Bloom-Forming CyanobacteriumApplied and environmental microbiology · 2019Article
- Harnessing tipping points in complex ecological networks.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2019Article
- The fungicide azoxystrobin promotes freshwater cyanobacterial dominance through altering competition.Microbiome · 2019Article
- Disentangling reporting and disease transmission.Theoretical ecology · 2019Article
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Authors and funding
7 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Directional change in environmental drivers sometimes triggers regime shifts in ecosystems. Theory and experiments suggest that regime shifts can be detected in advance, and perhaps averted, by monitoring resilience indicators such as variance and autocorrelation of key ecosystem variables. However, it is uncertain whether management action prompted by a change in resilience indicators can prevent an impending regime shift. We caused a cyanobacterial bloom by gradually enriching an experimental lake while monitoring an unenriched reference lake and a continuously enriched reference lake. When resilience indicators exceeded preset boundaries, nutrient enrichment was stopped in the experimental lake. Concentrations of algal pigments, dissolved oxygen saturation, and pH rapidly declined following cessation of nutrient enrichment and became similar to the unenriched lake, whereas a large bloom occurred in the continuously enriched lake. This outcome suggests that resilience indicators may be useful in management to prevent unwanted regime shifts, at least in some situations. Nonetheless, a safer approach to ecosystem management would build and maintain the resilience of desirable ecosystem conditions, for example, by preventing excessive nutrient input to lakes and reservoirs.
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