ArticleScientific reports2016
Multivariate time series analysis on the dynamic relationship between Class B notifiable diseases and gross domestic product (GDP) in China.
Article in Scientific reports, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.
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Who cites it
18 citing papers in PubMed.
- Spatiotemporal heterogeneity and multiscale social influencing factors of syphilis in the mainland of China, 2005-2022.iScience · 2026Article
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- Combined effects of 5-azacytidine and oleuropein on miR-149-3p, miR-375, miR-574-5p expression and apoptosis in acute myeloid leukemia (AML) cell lines HL-60 and THP-1.Molecular biology reports · 2025Article
- Epidemiology, pathophysiology and clinical aspects of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in MAFLD patients.Hepatology international · 2024Review
- Spatiotemporal dynamics and potential ecological drivers of acute respiratory infectious diseases: an example of scarlet fever in Sichuan Province.BMC public health · 2022Article
- ARIMA and ARIMA-ERNN models for prediction of pertussis incidence in mainland China from 2004 to 2021.BMC public health · 2022Article
- Applying the Spatial Transmission Network to the Forecast of Infectious Diseases Across Multiple Regions.Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
- Environmental factors and spatiotemporal distribution of Japanese encephalitis after vaccination campaign in Guizhou Province, China (2004-2016).BMC infectious diseases · 2021Article
- Socio-Economic Factors Affecting the Regional Spread and Outbreak of COVID-19 in China.Iranian journal of public health · 2021Article
- Spatial transmission network construction of influenza-like illness using dynamic Bayesian network and vector-autoregressive moving average model.BMC infectious diseases · 2021Article
- How to improve infectious disease prediction by integrating environmental data: an application of a novel ensemble analysis strategy to predict HFMD.Epidemiology and infection · 2021Article
- Estimating the Prevalence and Mortality of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in the USA, the UK, Russia, and India.Infection and drug resistance · 2020Article
- Epidemiological study of scarlet fever in Shenyang, China.BMC infectious diseases · 2019Article
- Dynamic Bayesian network in infectious diseases surveillance: a simulation study.Scientific reports · 2019Article
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- Time series modeling of pertussis incidence in China from 2004 to 2018 with a novel wavelet based SARIMA-NAR hybrid model.PloS one · 2018Article
- Assessing environmental factors associated with regional schistosomiasis prevalence in Anhui Province, Peoples' Republic of China using a geographical detector method.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2017Article
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Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The surveillance of infectious diseases is of great importance for disease control and prevention, and more attention should be paid to the Class B notifiable diseases in China. Meanwhile, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the annual growth of Chinese gross domestic product (GDP) would decelerate below 7% after many years of soaring. Under such circumstances, this study aimed to answer what will happen to the incidence rates of infectious diseases in China if Chinese GDP growth remained below 7% in the next five years. Firstly, time plots and cross-correlation matrices were presented to illustrate the characteristics of data. Then, the multivariate time series (MTS) models were proposed to explore the dynamic relationship between incidence rates and GDP. Three kinds of MTS models, i.e., vector auto-regressive (VAR) model for original series, VAR model for differenced series and error-correction model (ECM), were considered in this study. The rank of error-correction term was taken as an indicator for model selection. Finally, our results suggested that four kinds of infectious diseases (epidemic hemorrhagic fever, pertussis, scarlet fever and syphilis) might need attention in China because their incidence rates have increased since the year 2010.
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