Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28004960›Full record

ArticlePsychological review2017

Self-evaluation of decision-making: A general Bayesian framework for metacognitive computation.

Stephen M Fleming, Nathaniel D Daw

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Psychological review, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 212 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
212citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

212 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Towards an integrative neuroscience of metacognition.Nature reviews. Neuroscience · 2026
    Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Metacognition and metacognitive monitoring in aging.Psychonomic bulletin & review · 2026
    Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Sociolinguistic Context Constrains Bilingual Advantages in Metacognition.Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences · 2026
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Eye of the beholder: Pupillary response reflects how subjective prior beliefs shape reinforcement learning with fake news.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Review
  20. Self-Reflection Protects Behavior from Volatile Beliefs Linked to Paranoia.Computational psychiatry (Cambridge, Mass.) · 2026
    Article

152 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Stephen M FlemingWellcome Trust Centre for Neuroimaging, University College London.
Nathaniel D DawPrinceton Neuroscience Institute.

Funding

Wellcome Trust WT096185
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

People are often aware of their mistakes, and report levels of confidence in their choices that correlate with objective performance. These metacognitive assessments of decision quality are important for the guidance of behavior, particularly when external feedback is absent or sporadic. However, a computational framework that accounts for both confidence and error detection is lacking. In addition, accounts of dissociations between performance and metacognition have often relied on ad hoc assumptions, precluding a unified account of intact and impaired self-evaluation. Here we present a general Bayesian framework in which self-evaluation is cast as a "second-order" inference on a coupled but distinct decision system, computationally equivalent to inferring the performance of another actor. Second-order computation may ensue whenever there is a separation between internal states supporting decisions and confidence estimates over space and/or time. We contrast second-order computation against simpler first-order models in which the same internal state supports both decisions and confidence estimates. Through simulations we show that second-order computation provides a unified account of different types of self-evaluation often considered in separate literatures, such as confidence and error detection, and generates novel predictions about the contribution of one's own actions to metacognitive judgments. In addition, the model provides insight into why subjects' metacognition may sometimes be better or worse than task performance. We suggest that second-order computation may underpin self-evaluative judgments across a range of domains. (PsycINFO Database Record

Indexed as

Decision MakingMetacognitionSelf-AssessmentAwarenessBayes TheoremChoice BehaviorHumansJudgmentModels, PsychologicalTask Performance and Analysis

Identifiers

PMID28004960
PMCPMC5178868

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.