Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28002438›Full record

ArticlePloS one2016

Development of a Machine Learning Algorithm for the Surveillance of Autism Spectrum Disorder.

Matthew J Maenner, Marshalyn Yeargin-Allsopp, Kim Van Naarden Braun, Deborah L Christensen, Laura A Schieve

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
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  6. Transparent deep learning to identify autism spectrum disorders (ASD) in EHR using clinical notes.Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA · 2024
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Sensory features in autism: Findings from a large population-based surveillance system.Autism research : official journal of the International Society for Autism Research · 2022
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Matthew J MaennerNational Center on Birth Defects and Developmental Disabilities, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Atlanta, GA United States of America.
Marshalyn Yeargin-AllsoppNational Center on Birth Defects and Developmental Disabilities, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Atlanta, GA United States of America.
Kim Van Naarden BraunNational Center on Birth Defects and Developmental Disabilities, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Atlanta, GA United States of America.
Deborah L ChristensenNational Center on Birth Defects and Developmental Disabilities, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Atlanta, GA United States of America.
Laura A SchieveNational Center on Birth Defects and Developmental Disabilities, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Atlanta, GA United States of America.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The Autism and Developmental Disabilities Monitoring (ADDM) Network conducts population-based surveillance of autism spectrum disorder (ASD) among 8-year old children in multiple US sites. To classify ASD, trained clinicians review developmental evaluations collected from multiple health and education sources to determine whether the child meets the ASD surveillance case criteria. The number of evaluations collected has dramatically increased since the year 2000, challenging the resources and timeliness of the surveillance system. We developed and evaluated a machine learning approach to classify case status in ADDM using words and phrases contained in children's developmental evaluations. We trained a random forest classifier using data from the 2008 Georgia ADDM site which included 1,162 children with 5,396 evaluations (601 children met ADDM ASD criteria using standard ADDM methods). The classifier used the words and phrases from the evaluations to predict ASD case status. We evaluated its performance on the 2010 Georgia ADDM surveillance data (1,450 children with 9,811 evaluations; 754 children met ADDM ASD criteria). We also estimated ASD prevalence using predictions from the classification algorithm. Overall, the machine learning approach predicted ASD case statuses that were 86.5% concordant with the clinician-determined case statuses (84.0% sensitivity, 89.4% predictive value positive). The area under the resulting receiver-operating characteristic curve was 0.932. Algorithm-derived ASD "prevalence" was 1.46% compared to the published (clinician-determined) estimate of 1.55%. Using only the text contained in developmental evaluations, a machine learning algorithm was able to discriminate between children that do and do not meet ASD surveillance criteria at one surveillance site.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsMachine LearningArea Under CurveAutism Spectrum DisorderChildFemaleGeorgiaHumansMalePrevalenceROC CurveSensitivity and Specificity

Identifiers

PMID28002438
PMCPMC5176307

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.