Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27977595›Full record

ArticleMedicine2016

Predicting emergency departments visit rates from septicemia in Taiwan using an age-period-cohort model, 1998 to 2012.

I-Shiang Tzeng, Su-Hsun Liu, Yu Ting Chiou, Chien-Hsiung Huang, Cheng-Jung Lee, Cheng-Yu Chien, Shou-Chien Hsu, Yi-Ming Weng, Kuan-Fu Chen, Jih-Chang Chen

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Medicine, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
1.5field-weighted citation impact, top 17% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 7 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

I-Shiang TzengInstitute of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, Taipei College of Medicine, Chang Gung University, Taoyuan Department of Family Medicine, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Linkou New Taipei City Limited Liability Indigenous People of Labor Cooperation Department of Emergency Medicine, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Keelung Department of Emergency Medicine, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Taipei Department of Emergency Medicine, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Linkou Clinical Informatics and Medical Statistics Research Center, Chang Gung University, Taoyuan Community Medicine Research Center, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Keelung, Taiwan.
Su-Hsun Liu
Yu Ting Chiou
Chien-Hsiung Huang
Cheng-Jung Lee
Cheng-Yu Chien
Shou-Chien Hsu
Yi-Ming Weng
Kuan-Fu Chen
Jih-Chang Chen
Chang Gung Memorial Hospital · TWQuanta Computer (Taiwan) · TWInstitute for Humanities Research and Indigenous Studies of the North · RUMemorial Hospital of South Bend · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The aim of this study was to determine the age-period-cohort (APC) effects on the rate of infection-related emergency department (ED) visits from septicemia for predicting the same in recent periods.In our study, we investigated the longitudinal trends in septicemia-related visit rates. Using an APC model to decompose the septicemia visit rates into the effects of age, time period, and cohort, and examine whether their effects varied by sex.The septicemia ED visit rate was classified as the International Classification of Disease Code 038 by primary and secondary diagnosis between 1998 and 2012.In both males and females, the visit rate of septicemia showed an increase from 2003 through 2012. An increase in septicemia visit rate after 2003 was observed in all age groups. An APC model indicated a reversal increasing period effect, which increased prominently from 2003 to 2012 in both males and females. The age effect showed an increasing trend. The cohort effect tended to show a slight oscillation from 1913 to 1988. With reference to the prediction of the logarithms of the age-specific 5-year visit rates, we observed that the younger cohorts exhibited a slightly increasing trend, as compared to the older cohorts.The period effect can explain the increase in septicemia visit rates, suggesting the role of screening for septicemia. Furthermore, it is well known that aging is a relevant risk variable for infectious diseases. The present study concludes that the aged population exhibited a strong increasing future trend for septicemia-related ED visit rates.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsEmergency Service, HospitalFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedModels, StatisticalSepsisSex FactorsTaiwanYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID27977595
PMCPMC5268041
OpenAlexW2562945007

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.