Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27965394›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2016

Perspectives on the role of mobility, behavior, and time scales in the spread of diseases.

Carlos Castillo-Chavez, Derdei Bichara, Benjamin R Morin

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Vector-borne disease models with Lagrangian approach.Journal of mathematical biology · 2024
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Airborne disease transmission during indoor gatherings over multiple time scales: Modeling framework and policy implications.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Measuring voluntary and policy-induced social distancing behavior during the COVID-19 pandemic.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2021
    Article
  12. Mobility restrictions are more than transient reduction of travel activities.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2021
    Article
  13. Discrete epidemic models with two time scales.Advances in difference equations · 2021
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Ebola vaccination in the Democratic Republic of the Congo.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2019
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Mathematical epidemiology: Past, present, and future.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2017
    Review
  19. Human-environment interactions in population and ecosystem health.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2016
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Carlos Castillo-ChavezSimon A. Levin Mathematical and Computational Modeling Sciences Center, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287-3901; ccchavez@asu.edu.
Derdei BicharaDepartment of Mathematics, California State University, Fullerton, CA 92831.
Benjamin R MorinSimon A. Levin Mathematical and Computational Modeling Sciences Center, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287-3901.

Funding

Modeling Anthropogenic Effects in the Spread of Infectious DiseasesR01GM100471 · NIGMS · ARIZONA STATE UNIVERSITY-TEMPE CAMPUS · PI PERRINGS, CHARLES · 2011 to 2014
$1.5M
Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council BB-M008894-1NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM100471
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The dynamics, control, and evolution of communicable and vector-borne diseases are intimately connected to the joint dynamics of epidemiological, behavioral, and mobility processes that operate across multiple spatial, temporal, and organizational scales. The identification of a theoretical explanatory framework that accounts for the pattern regularity exhibited by a large number of host-parasite systems, including those sustained by host-vector epidemiological dynamics, is but one of the challenges facing the coevolving fields of computational, evolutionary, and theoretical epidemiology. Host-parasite epidemiological patterns, including epidemic outbreaks and endemic recurrent dynamics, are characteristic to well-identified regions of the world; the result of processes and constraints such as strain competition, host and vector mobility, and population structure operating over multiple scales in response to recurrent disturbances (like El Niño) and climatological and environmental perturbations over thousands of years. It is therefore important to identify and quantify the processes responsible for observed epidemiological macroscopic patterns: the result of individual interactions in changing social and ecological landscapes. In this perspective, we touch on some of the issues calling for the identification of an encompassing theoretical explanatory framework by identifying some of the limitations of existing theory, in the context of particular epidemiological systems. Fostering the reenergizing of research that aims at disentangling the role of epidemiological and socioeconomic forces on disease dynamics, better understood as complex adaptive systems, is a key aim of this perspective.

Indexed as

Communicable Disease ControlDisease OutbreaksAnimalsClimateCommunicable DiseasesDisease VectorsEcologyEnvironmentEpidemicsHost-Parasite InteractionsHumansModels, OrganizationalModels, StatisticalTimeZika VirusZika Virus Infectionbehaviorcomplex adaptive systemsinfectious diseasemobilityrisk

Identifiers

PMID27965394
PMCPMC5187743

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.