Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27934888›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2016

The world's road to water scarcity: shortage and stress in the 20th century and pathways towards sustainability.

M Kummu, J H A Guillaume, H de Moel, S Eisner, M Flörke, M Porkka, S Siebert, T I E Veldkamp, P J Ward

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 81 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
81citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

81 citing papers in PubMed.

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  9. Optimizing regional water resources management considering ecological water demand priority for Mahaweli River watershed, Sri Lanka.Water science and technology : a journal of the International Association on Water Pollution Research · 2025
    Article
  10. Article
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  12. Global overlooked multidimensional water scarcity.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
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  13. Review
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21 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

M KummuWater &Development Research Group (WDRG), Aalto University, Espoo, Finland.
J H A GuillaumeWater &Development Research Group (WDRG), Aalto University, Espoo, Finland.
H de MoelInstitute for Environmental Studies (IVM), Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands.
S EisnerCenter for Environmental Systems Research (CESR), University of Kassel, Germany.
M FlörkeCenter for Environmental Systems Research (CESR), University of Kassel, Germany.
M PorkkaWater &Development Research Group (WDRG), Aalto University, Espoo, Finland.
S SiebertInstitute of Crop Science and Resource Conservation (INRES), University of Bonn, Germany.
T I E VeldkampInstitute for Environmental Studies (IVM), Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands.
P J WardInstitute for Environmental Studies (IVM), Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Water scarcity is a rapidly growing concern around the globe, but little is known about how it has developed over time. This study provides a first assessment of continuous sub-national trajectories of blue water consumption, renewable freshwater availability, and water scarcity for the entire 20

Identifiers

PMID27934888
PMCPMC5146931

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.