Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27928699›Full record

ArticleBreast cancer research and treatment2017

Estimating the OncotypeDX score: validation of an inexpensive estimation tool.

Anne A Eaton, Catherine E Pesce, James O Murphy, Michelle M Stempel, Sujata M Patil, Edi Brogi, Clifford A Hudis, Mahmoud El-Tamer

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Breast cancer research and treatment, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed
0.9field-weighted citation impact, top 26% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 24 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Predictions of Oncotype DXBioengineering (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026
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  9. Concordance between results of inexpensive statistical models and multigene signatures in patients with ER+/HER2- early breast cancer.Modern pathology : an official journal of the United States and Canadian Academy of Pathology, Inc · 2021
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  10. The healthcare value of the Magee Decision Algorithm™: use of Magee Equations™ and mitosis score to safely forgo molecular testing in breast cancer.Modern pathology : an official journal of the United States and Canadian Academy of Pathology, Inc · 2020
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Anne A EatonDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA.
Catherine E PesceDepartment of Surgical Oncology, NorthShore University HealthSystem, Evanston, IL, USA.
James O MurphyUniversity Hospital Waterford, Waterford, Ireland.
Michelle M StempelBreast Service, Department of Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, 300 East 66th Street, New York, NY, 10065, USA.
Sujata M PatilDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA.
Edi BrogiDepartment of Pathology, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA.
Clifford A HudisBreast Cancer Medicine Service, Department of Medicine, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA.
Mahmoud El-TamerBreast Service, Department of Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, 300 East 66th Street, New York, NY, 10065, USA. eltamerm@mskcc.org.
Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center · USNorthShore University HealthSystem · USUniversity Hospital Waterford · IE

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI SELWYN M VICKERS · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundOncotypeDX, a multi-gene expression assay, has been incorporated into clinical practice as a prognostic and predictive tool. However, its use in resource-constrained international healthcare systems is limited. Here we develop and validate a simplified model using clinicopathologic criteria to predict OncotypeDX score.

methodsPatients with estrogen receptor (ER) and/or progesterone receptor (PR)-positive and HER2-negative invasive ductal carcinoma for whom the OncotypeDX test was successfully performed between 09/2008 and 12/2011 were retrospectively identified. Tumor size, nuclear and histologic grade, lymphovascular invasion, and ER and PR status were extracted from pathology reports. Data were split into a training dataset comprising women tested 09/2008-04/2011, and a validation dataset comprising women tested 04/2011-12/2011. Using the training dataset, linear regression analysis was used to identify factors associated with OncotypeDX score, and to create a simplified risk score and identify risk cutoffs.

resultsEstrogen and progesterone receptors, tumor size, nuclear and histologic grades, and lymphovascular involvement were independently associated with OncotypeDX. The full model explained 39% of the variation in the test data, and the simplified risk score and cutoffs assigned 57% of patients in the test data to the correct risk category (OncotypeDX score <18, 18-30, >30). 41% of patients were predicted to have OncotypeDX score <18, of these 83, 16, and 2% had true scores of <18, 18-30, and >30, respectively.

conclusionsAwaiting an inexpensive test that is prognostic and predictive, our simplified tool allows clinicians to identify a fairly large group of patients (41%) with very low chance of having high-risk disease (2%).

Indexed as

Biomarkers, TumorAdultAgedAged, 80 and overBreast NeoplasmsErb-b2 Receptor Tyrosine KinasesFemaleGene Expression ProfilingGenetic TestingHumansMiddle AgedNeoplasm GradingNeoplasm StagingPrognosisReceptors, EstrogenReceptors, ProgesteroneBiomarkers, TumorErb-b2 Receptor Tyrosine KinasesReceptors, EstrogenReceptors, ProgesteroneBreast cancerOncotypeDXRisk prediction

Identifiers

PMID27928699
PMCPMC5310948
OpenAlexW2560579151

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.