ReviewPhilosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences2017
Phenological shifts of native and invasive species under climate change: insights from the Boechera-Lythrum model.
Review in Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.
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Who cites it
15 citing papers in PubMed.
- Testing a General Theory for Optimal Flowering Time in Deciduous Perennial Plants as a Function of Growing Season Length.Ecology letters · 2026Article
- Toward a comprehensive understanding of the phenological responses of non-native plants to climate warming: a review.Annals of botany · 2025Review
- Flowering time responses to warming drive reproductive fitness in a changing Arctic.Annals of botany · 2025Article
- Long-term data reveal widespread phenological change across major US estuarine food webs.Ecology letters · 2024Article
- Twilight length alters growth and flowering time in Arabidopsis viaScience advances · 2024Article
- Climate and soil factors co-derive the functional traits variations in naturalized downy thorn apple (Heliyon · 2024Article
- Greater flowering and response to flooding inAoB PLANTS · 2023Article
- Invasive Alien Slug Arion vulgaris Moquin-Tandon, 1855 (Gastropoda: Pulmonata: Arionidae) in Moscow Parks and Its Co-introduced Parasite Alloionema appendiculatum Schneider, 1859.Acta parasitologica · 2022Article
- Phenological advance in the South African Namaqualand Daisy First and Peak Bloom: 1935-2018.International journal of biometeorology · 2022Article
- Ecological Niche Shifts Affect the Potential Invasive Risk ofFrontiers in plant science · 2022Article
- Multiple modes of selection can influence the role of phenotypic plasticity in species' invasions: Evidence from a manipulative field experiment.Ecology and evolution · 2021Article
- No evidence that rapid adaptation impedes biological control of an invasive plant.Evolutionary applications · 2020Article
- Where is the optimum? Predicting the variation of selection along climatic gradients and the adaptive value of plasticity. A case study on tree phenology.Evolution letters · 2020Article
- Herbarium specimens reveal substantial and unexpected variation in phenological sensitivity across the eastern United States.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2018Article
- Human influences on evolution, and the ecological and societal consequences.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2017Article
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3 authors.
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Abstract
Warmer and drier climates have shifted phenologies of many species. However, the magnitude and direction of phenological shifts vary widely among taxa, and it is often unclear when shifts are adaptive or how they affect long-term viability. Here, we model evolution of flowering phenology based on our long-term research of two species exhibiting opposite shifts in floral phenology: Lythrum salicaria, which is invasive in North America, and the sparse Rocky Mountain native Boechera stricta Genetic constraints are similar in both species, but differences in the timing of environmental conditions that favour growth lead to opposite phenological shifts under climate change. As temperatures increase, selection is predicted to favour earlier flowering in native B. stricta while reducing population viability, even if populations adapt rapidly to changing environmental conditions. By contrast, warming is predicted to favour delayed flowering in both native and introduced L. salicaria populations while increasing long-term viability. Relaxed selection from natural enemies in invasive L. salicaria is predicted to have little effect on flowering time but a large effect on reproductive fitness. Our approach highlights the importance of understanding ecological and genetic constraints to predict the ecological consequences of evolutionary responses to climate change on contemporary timescales.This article is part of the themed issue 'Human influences on evolution, and the ecological and societal consequences'.
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