Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27909039›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2016

Algorithm for predicting death among older adults in the home care setting: study protocol for the Risk Evaluation for Support: Predictions for Elder-life in the Community Tool (RESPECT).

Amy T Hsu, Douglas G Manuel, Monica Taljaard, Mathieu Chalifoux, Carol Bennett, Andrew P Costa, Susan Bronskill, Daniel Kobewka, Peter Tanuseputro

Registry-linked trialOpen access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT02779309 (An Algorithm for Predicting Death Among Older Adults in the Home Care Setting), which is not on this map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
1.3field-weighted citation impact, top 19% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT02779309 completednot on this map

An Algorithm for Predicting Death Among Older Adults in the Home Care Setting: Study Protocol for the Risk Evaluation for Support: Predicting Elder Life in the Community Tool (RESPECT)

TypeobservationalSponsorOttawa Hospital Research InstituteRan2007 to 2017Enrolled486,000ConditionsDeathArmsHome Care/RAI-HC Assessment
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 28 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.

Amy T HsuClinical Epidemiology Program, Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-2747-4121
Douglas G ManuelClinical Epidemiology Program, Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Monica TaljaardClinical Epidemiology Program, Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Mathieu ChalifouxICES uOttawa, Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (ICES), Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Carol BennettClinical Epidemiology Program, Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Andrew P CostaDepartment of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.
Susan BronskillInstitute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Daniel KobewkaClinical Epidemiology Program, Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Peter TanuseputroClinical Epidemiology Program, Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
University of Ottawa · CAOttawa Hospital · CAInstitute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences · CAMcMaster University · CASunnybrook Health Science Centre · CA

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionOlder adults living in the community often have multiple, chronic conditions and functional impairments. A challenge for healthcare providers working in the community is the lack of a predictive tool that can be applied to the broad spectrum of mortality risks observed and may be used to inform care planning.

objectiveTo predict survival time for older adults in the home care setting. The final mortality risk algorithm will be implemented as a web-based calculator that can be used by older adults needing care and by their caregivers.

designOpen cohort study using the Resident Assessment Instrument for Home Care (RAI-HC) data in Ontario, Canada, from 1 January 2007 to 31 December 2013.

participantsThe derivation cohort will consist of ∼437 000 older adults who had an RAI-HC assessment between 1 January 2007 and 31 December 2012. A split sample validation cohort will include ∼122 000 older adults with an RAI-HC assessment between 1 January and 31 December 2013.

main outcome measuresPredicted survival from the time of an RAI-HC assessment. All deaths (n≈245 000) will be ascertained through linkage to a population-based registry that is maintained by the Ministry of Health in Ontario. STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: Proportional hazards regression will be estimated after assessment of assumptions. Predictors will include sociodemographic factors, social support, health conditions, functional status, cognition, symptoms of decline and prior healthcare use. Model performance will be evaluated for 6-month and 12-month predicted risks, including measures of calibration (eg, calibration plots) and discrimination (eg, c-statistics). The final algorithm will use combined development and validation data. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Research ethics approval has been granted by the Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre Review Board. Findings will be disseminated through presentations at conferences and in peer-reviewed journals. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT02779309, Pre-results.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsDeathHome Care ServicesResearch DesignAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleForecastingHumansIndependent LivingMaleMiddle AgedOntarioProportional Hazards ModelsRisk AssessmentSurvivalAdvance care planningClinical prediction ruleFrail older adultsHome careMortalitySurvival analysis

Identifiers

PMID27909039
PMCPMC5168641
OpenAlexW2559405193

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.