ArticleParasites & vectors2016
The impact of temperature and precipitation on blacklegged tick activity and Lyme disease incidence in endemic and emerging regions.
Article in Parasites & vectors, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 49 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
49 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Risk Factors for Bites and Diseases Associated With Black-Legged Ticks: A Meta-Analysis.American journal of epidemiology · 2019Pooled it
- Climate change and infectious diseases.Nature medicine · 2026Review
- Spatial modeling of Borrelia genospecies in human-biting ticks from the French citizen science programme CiTIQUE.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Variables for habitat and vertebrate hosts of Ixodes scapularis are the best ecological predictors of the spatial spread of Lyme disease in the United States (2010-2019).Parasites & vectors · 2025Article
- Carryover Effects of Thermal Conditions on Tick Survival, Behavior, and Simulated Detectability.Ecology and evolution · 2025Article
- Estimating the density of questing Ixodes scapularis nymphs in the eastern United States using climate and land cover data.Ticks and tick-borne diseases · 2025Article
- The impact of climate change on ecology of tick associated with tick-borne diseases.PLoS computational biology · 2025Article
- The replication rate ofmicroPublication biology · 2025Article
- Effects of Peromyscus spp. (Rodentia: Cricetidae) presence, land use, and ecotone on Ixodes scapularis (Acari: Ixodidae) ecology in an emergent area for tick-borne disease.Journal of medical entomology · 2024Article
- The Diel Activity Pattern ofInsects · 2024Article
- Density of host-seeking Ixodes scapularis nymphs by region, state, and county in the contiguous United States generated through national tick surveillance.Ticks and tick-borne diseases · 2024Article
- High-resolution environmental and host-related factors impacting questingEcology and evolution · 2024Article
- Evaluation of the association between climate warming and the spread and proliferation of Ixodes scapularis in northern states in the Eastern United States.Ticks and tick-borne diseases · 2024Review
- Article
- Deer management generally reduces densities of nymphal Ixodes scapularis, but not prevalence of infection with Borrelia burgdorferi sensu stricto.Ticks and tick-borne diseases · 2023Article
- Tick Densities and Infection Prevalence on Coastal Islands in Massachusetts, USA: Establishing a Baseline.Insects · 2023Article
- Trending Occupational Fatalities and Injuries: An Assessment of Projected Climate Change Related Impacts in the United States since 1992.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023Article
- Identifying suitable habitat for Ixodes scapularis (Acari: Ixodidae) infected with Anaplasma phagocytophilum (Rickettsiales: Anaplasmataceae), Babesia microti (Piroplasmida: Babesiidae), and Borrelia miyamotoi (Spirochaetales: Spirochaetaceae) to guide surveillance efforts in the eastern United States.Journal of medical entomology · 2023Article
- Risky business: human-related data is lacking from Lyme disease risk models.Frontiers in public health · 2023Review
- Tick Control in a Connected World: Challenges, Solutions, and Public Policy from a United States Border Perspective.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2022Review
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundThe incidence of Lyme disease shows high degrees of inter-annual variation in the northeastern United States, but the factors driving this variation are not well understood. Complicating matters, it is also possible that these driving factors may vary in regions with differing histories of Lyme disease endemism. We evaluated the effect of the number of hot (T > 25 °C), dry (precipitation = 0) days during the questing periods of the two immature Ixodes scapularis life stages (larval and nymphal) on inter-annual variation in Lyme disease incidence between 2000 and 2011 in long-term endemic versus recently endemic areas. We also evaluated the effect of summer weather on tick questing activity and the number of ticks found on small mammals between 1994 and 2012 on six sites in Millbrook, NY.
resultsThe number of hot, dry days during the larval period of the previous year did not affect the human incidence of Lyme disease or the density of questing nymphs the following season. However, dry summer weather during the nymphal questing period had a significant negative effect on the incidence of Lyme disease in the long-term endemic areas, and on the density of questing nymphs. Summer weather conditions had a more pronounced effect on actively questing I. scapularis collected via dragging than on the number of ticks found feeding on small mammals. In recently endemic areas Lyme disease incidence increased significantly over time, but no trend was detected between disease incidence and dry summer weather.
conclusionsRecently endemic regions showed an increase in Lyme disease incidence over time, while incidence in long-term endemic regions appears to have stabilized. Only within the stabilized areas were we able to detect reduced Lyme disease incidence in years with hot, dry summer weather. These patterns were reflected in our field data, which showed that questing activity of nymphal I. scapularis was reduced by hot, dry summer weather.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.