Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27880989›Full record

ArticleHepatology (Baltimore, Md.)2017

Validation of the prognostic value of histologic scoring systems in primary sclerosing cholangitis: An international cohort study.

Elisabeth M G de Vries, Manon de Krijger, Martti Färkkilä, Johanna Arola, Peter Schirmacher, Daniel Gotthardt, Benjamin Goeppert, Palak J Trivedi, Gideon M Hirschfield, Henriette Ytting and 17 more

Open access · bronzeAbstract readMulticenter StudyValidation Study
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Hepatology (Baltimore, Md.), 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 42 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
42citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
4.2field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

42 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 100 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. [Guidelines on the diagnosis and management of primary sclerosing cholangitis (2021)].Zhonghua gan zang bing za zhi = Zhonghua ganzangbing zazhi = Chinese journal of hepatology · 2022
    Guideline
  2. Pooled it
  3. The role of imaging in determining prognosis for primary sclerosing cholangitis: A systematic review.Saudi journal of gastroenterology : official journal of the Saudi Gastroenterology Association
    Pooled it
  4. Primary sclerosing cholangitis.Nature reviews. Disease primers · 2025
    Review
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Primary Sclerosing Cholangitis: Diagnostic Criteria.Tomography (Ann Arbor, Mich.) · 2024
    Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. The microbiota and the gut-liver axis in primary sclerosing cholangitis.Nature reviews. Gastroenterology & hepatology · 2023
    Review
  18. Primary sclerosing cholangitis: review for radiologists.Abdominal radiology (New York) · 2023
    Review
  19. Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

27 authors at 17 institutions in 9 countries.

Elisabeth M G de VriesDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Academic Medical Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Manon de KrijgerDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Academic Medical Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Martti FärkkiläHelsinki University and Helsinki University Hospital, Department of Gastroenterology, Helsinki, Finland.
Johanna ArolaDepartment of Pathology, Helsinki University and Helsinki University Hospital, Helsinki, Finland.
Peter SchirmacherInstitute of Pathology, University Hospital Heidelberg, Heidelberg, Germany.
Daniel GotthardtDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University Hospital Heidelberg, Heidelberg, Germany.
Benjamin GoeppertInstitute of Pathology, University Hospital Heidelberg, Heidelberg, Germany.
Palak J TrivediNational Institute for Health Research, Birmingham Liver Biomedical Research Unit, Institute of Immunology and Immunotherapy, University of Birmingham, United Kingdom.
Gideon M HirschfieldNational Institute for Health Research, Birmingham Liver Biomedical Research Unit, Institute of Immunology and Immunotherapy, University of Birmingham, United Kingdom.
Henriette YttingDepartment of Hepatology, Rigshospitalet, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Ben VainerDepartment of Pathology, Rigshospitalet, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Henk R van BuurenDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Katharina BiermannDepartment of Pathology, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Maren H HarmsDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Olivier ChazouilleresDepartment of Hepatology, AP-HP, Hôpital Saint-Antoine, Sorbonne Universités, University Pierre and Marie Curie, Paris, France.
Dominique WendumDepartment of Pathology, AP-HP, Hôpital Saint-Antoine, Sorbonne Universités, University Pierre and Marie Curie, Paris, France.
Astrid D KemgangDepartment of Hepatology, AP-HP, Hôpital Saint-Antoine, Sorbonne Universités, University Pierre and Marie Curie, Paris, France.
Roger W ChapmanNuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Lai Mun WangDepartment of Cellular Pathology, John Radcliffe Hospital, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, United Kingdom.
Kate D WilliamsonNuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Annette S H GouwDepartment of Pathology and Medical Biology, University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands.
Valerie ParadisDepartment of Pathology, Beaujon Hospital, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris, Paris, France.
Christine SempouxInstitut Universitaire de Pathologie-IUP, Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Vaudois, Lausanne, Switzerland.
Ulrich BeuersDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Academic Medical Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Stefan G HübscherNational Institute for Health Research, Birmingham Liver Biomedical Research Unit, Institute of Immunology and Immunotherapy, University of Birmingham, United Kingdom.
Joanne VerheijDepartment of Pathology, Academic Medical Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Cyriel Y PonsioenDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Academic Medical Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Academic Medical Center · NLErasmus MC · NLNIHR Birmingham Liver Biomedical Research Unit · GBUniversity Hospital Heidelberg · DEUniversity of Copenhagen · DKHeidelberg University · DEHelsinki University Hospital · FIHôpital Beaujon · FRHôpital Saint-Antoine · FRLudwig Cancer Research · GBMetropolitan University · BDRigshospitalet · DKSorbonne Université · FRUniversity Hospital of Lausanne · CHUniversity of Birmingham · GBUniversity of Helsinki · FIUniversity of Oxford · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Histologic scoring systems specific for primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) are not validated. We recently determined the applicability and prognostic value of three histological scoring systems in a single PSC cohort. The aim of this study was to validate their prognostic use and reproducibility across a multicenter PSC cohort. Liver biopsies from PSC patients were collected from seven European institutions. Histologic scoring was performed using the Nakanuma, Ishak, and Ludwig scoring systems. Biopsies were independently scored by six liver pathologists for interobserver agreement. The prognostic value of clinical, biochemical, and all three histologic scoring systems on predicting composite endpoints 1 (PSC-related death and liver transplantation), 2 (liver transplantation), and 3 (liver-related events), was assessed using univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazards modeling. A total of 119 PSC patients were identified, and the median follow-up was 142 months. During follow-up, 31 patients died (20 PSC-related deaths), 31 patients underwent liver transplantation, and 35 patients experienced one or more liver-related events. All three staging systems were independent predictors of endpoints 2 and 3 (Nakanuma system: hazard ratio [HR], 3.16 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.49-6.68] for endpoint 2 and HR, 2.05 [95% CI, 1.17-3.57] for endpoint 3; Ishak system: HR, 1.55 [95% CI, 1.10-2.18] for endpoint 2 and HR, 1.43 [95% CI, 1.10-1.85] for endpoint 3; Ludwig system: HR, 2.62 [95% CI, 1.19-5.80] for endpoint 2 and HR, 2.06 [95% CI, 1.09-3.89] for endpoint 3). Only the Nakanuma staging system was independently associated with endpoint 1: HR, 2.14 (95% CI, 1.22-3.77). Interobserver agreement was moderate for Nakanuma stage (κ = 0.56) and substantial for Nakanuma component fibrosis (κ = 0.67), Ishak stage (κ = 0.64), and Ludwig stage (κ = 0.62).

conclusionWe confirm the independent prognostic value and demonstrate for the first time the reproducibility of staging disease progression in PSC using the Nakanuma, Ishak, and Ludwig staging systems. The Nakanuma staging system-incorporating features of chronic biliary disease-again showed the strongest predictive value. (Hepatology 2017;65:907-919).

Indexed as

AdultBiopsy, NeedleCholangitis, SclerosingCohort StudiesFemaleHumansImmunohistochemistryInternationalityKaplan-Meier EstimateLiver TransplantationMaleMiddle AgedMultivariate AnalysisObserver VariationPrognosisProportional Hazards Models

Identifiers

PMID27880989
OpenAlexW2552444756

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.