Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27876087›Full record

ArticleParasites & vectors2016

Heterogeneity in the abundance and distribution of Ixodes ricinus and Borrelia burgdorferi (sensu lato) in Scotland: implications for risk prediction.

Caroline Millins, Lucy Gilbert, Paul Johnson, Marianne James, Elizabeth Kilbride, Richard Birtles, Roman Biek

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Parasites & vectors, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
25citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.7field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

25 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 44 citations in OpenAlex.

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  15. Bacterial Pathogens and Symbionts Harboured byPathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2021
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.

Caroline MillinsInstitute of Biodiversity, Animal Health and Comparative Medicine, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, Scotland. Caroline.Millins@glasgow.ac.uk.
Lucy GilbertJames Hutton Institute, Craigiebuckler, Aberdeen, Scotland.
Paul JohnsonInstitute of Biodiversity, Animal Health and Comparative Medicine, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, Scotland.
Marianne JamesInstitute of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, UK.
Elizabeth KilbrideInstitute of Biodiversity, Animal Health and Comparative Medicine, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, Scotland.
Richard BirtlesSchool of Environment and Life Sciences, University of Salford, Salford, UK.
Roman BiekInstitute of Biodiversity, Animal Health and Comparative Medicine, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, Scotland.
University of Glasgow · GBFood Standards Scotland · GBGlasgow Centre for Population Health · GBJames Hutton Institute · GBUniversity of Salford · GB

Funding

Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council BB/F016786/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCases of Lyme borreliosis, a vector-borne zoonosis caused by bacteria in the Borrelia burgdorferi (sensu lato) species group, have increased in recent years in Europe. Knowledge of environmental factors associated with abundance of the tick vector Ixodes ricinus and the pathogen B. burgdorferi (s.l.) is of interest to understand responses to environmental changes, predict variation in risk and to inform management interventions.

methodsNineteen woodland sites across Scotland were surveyed in 2012 for B. burgdorferi (s.l.) infection in questing I. ricinus nymphs (n = 200 per site), deer abundance and vegetation. Climatic factors were extracted for each site. Six additional sites were surveyed for questing nymphs in both 2012 and 2013 (n = 200 per site and year) to test for variation in B. burgdorferi (s.l.) prevalence between years.

resultsThe mean prevalence of B. burgdorferi (s.l.) across 19 sites was 1.7% (95% CI: 1.4-2.2%; range 0-6%), all four genospecies known to be present in the UK were detected: B. garinii, B. afzelii, B. burgdorferi (sensu stricto) and B. valaisiana. A higher prevalence of B. burgdorferi (s.l.), higher densities of nymphs and higher densities of infected nymphs were found at sites with warmer climates, estimated with growing degree-days. No association between infection prevalence in nymphs and woodland type (semi-natural mixed vs coniferous) or deer density was found. At six sites sampled in 2012 and 2013, there was a significant increase in B. afzelli prevalence at two sites and a decrease in B. garinii prevalence at one site.

conclusionsThis study highlights challenges for the prediction of risk of Lyme borreliosis, reflecting the sensitivity of both pathogen and vector ecology to habitat, host and climatic factors. Significant changes in the prevalence of individual genospecies at sites monitored across time are likely to be due to variability in the host community composition between years. Our results indicate the importance of monitoring dynamic variables such as reservoir host populations as well as climate and habitat factors over multiple years, to identify environmental factors associated with Lyme borreliosis risk.

Indexed as

Insect VectorsAnimalsBorrelia burgdorferi GroupClimateEcosystemForestsIxodesLyme DiseasePrevalenceRisk AssessmentScotlandBorrelia burgdorferiHost communityIxodes ricinusRisk predictionSpatial heterogeneity

Identifiers

PMID27876087
PMCPMC5120507
OpenAlexW2553133526

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.