Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27876047›Full record

ArticleBMC health services research2016

Effects of longitudinal changes in Charlson comorbidity on prognostic survival model performance among newly diagnosed patients with hypertension.

Peter Rymkiewicz, Pietro Ravani, Brenda R Hemmelgarn, Finlay A McAlister, Danielle A Southern, Robin Walker, Guanmin Chen, Hude Quan

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMC health services research, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Peter RymkiewiczMeasurement and Evaluation, Mosaic Primary Care Network, Calgary, AB, Canada.
Pietro RavaniDepartment of Community Health Sciences, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada.
Brenda R HemmelgarnDepartment of Community Health Sciences, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada.
Finlay A McAlisterFaculty of Medicine and Dentistry, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB, Canada.
Danielle A SouthernO'Brien Institute for Public Health, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada.
Robin WalkerLibin Cardiovascular Institute of Alberta, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada.
Guanmin ChenDepartment of Community Health Sciences, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada.
Hude QuanDepartment of Community Health Sciences, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada. hquan@ucalgary.ca.

Funding

CIHR MOP-97823
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTo assess the use of updated comorbidity information over time on ability to predict mortality among adults with newly diagnosed hypertension.

methodsWe studied adults 18 years and older with an incident diagnosis of hypertension from Alberta, Canada. We compared the prognostic performance of Cox regression models using Charlson comorbidities as time-invariant covariates at baseline (TIC) versus models including Charlson comorbidities as time-varying covariates (TVC) using Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) for testing goodness of fit.

resultsThe strength of the association between important prognostic clinical variables and mortality varied by modeling technique; for example, myocardial infarction was less strongly associated with mortality in the TIC model (Hazard Ratio 1.07; 95% Confidence Interval (CI): 1.05 to 1.1) than in the TVC model (HR 1.20; 95% CI: 1.18 to 1.22). All TVC models slightly outperformed TIC models, regardless of the method used to adjust for comorbid conditions (individual Charlson Comorbidities, count of comorbidities or indices). The TVC model including all 17 Charlson comorbidities as individual independent variables showed the best fit and performance.

conclusionAccounting for changes in patient comorbidity status over time more accurately captures a patient's health risk and slightly improves predictive model fit and performance than traditional methods using TIC assessment.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAlbertaComorbidityFemaleHumansHypertensionMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisProportional Hazards ModelsSurvival AnalysisYoung AdultCharlsonComorbidityHypertensionLongitudinal changeModel performance

Identifiers

PMID27876047
PMCPMC5120518

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.