Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27863174›Full record

ArticleArthritis & rheumatology (Hoboken, N.J.)2017

Discerning Risk of Disease Transition in Relatives of Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Patients Utilizing Soluble Mediators and Clinical Features.

Melissa E Munroe, Kendra A Young, Diane L Kamen, Joel M Guthridge, Timothy B Niewold, Karen H Costenbader, Michael H Weisman, Mariko L Ishimori, Daniel J Wallace, Gary S Gilkeson and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Arthritis & rheumatology (Hoboken, N.J.), 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 40 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
40citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
7.5field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

40 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 66 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 8 institutions in 1 country.

Melissa E MunroeOklahoma Medical Research Foundation, Oklahoma City.ORCID 0000-0002-6933-9745
Kendra A YoungColorado School of Public Health, Aurora.
Diane L KamenMedical University of South Carolina, Charleston.
Joel M GuthridgeOklahoma Medical Research Foundation, Oklahoma City.
Timothy B NiewoldMayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota.
Karen H CostenbaderBrigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts.
Michael H WeismanCedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, California.
Mariko L IshimoriCedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, California.
Daniel J WallaceCedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, California.
Gary S GilkesonMedical University of South Carolina, Charleston.
David R KarpUniversity of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas.
John B HarleyCincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center and US Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Cincinnati, Ohio.
Jill M NorrisColorado School of Public Health, Aurora.
Judith A JamesOklahoma Medical Research Foundation and University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center, Oklahoma City.
Cedars-Sinai Medical Center · USOklahoma Medical Research Foundation · USColorado School of Public Health · USMedical University of South Carolina · USBrigham and Women's Hospital · USCincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center · USMayo Clinic · USThe University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center · US

Funding

Tracking and Evaluation CoreU54GM104938 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF OKLAHOMA HLTH SCIENCES CTR · PI Robert Hal Scofield · 2013 to 2026
$68.2M
Resource CoreP30AR072582 · NIAMS · MEDICAL UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH CAROLINA · PI JAMES C OATES · 2017 to 2026
$8.5M
HLA GENE COMPLEMENTATION IN PRIMARY SJOGREN'S AND LUPUSR01AI024717 · NIAID · OKLAHOMA MEDICAL RESEARCH FOUNDATION · PI KOTTYAN, LEAH CLAIRE, WEIRAUCH, MATTHEW TYSON · 1987 to 2025
$7.8M
SNP Confirmation and High Throughput Genotyping CoreP30AR053483 · NIAMS · OKLAHOMA MEDICAL RESEARCH FOUNDATION · PI GUTHRIDGE, JOEL MARVIN · 2007 to 2017
$6.7M
Pre-Clinical Studies to Identify SLE Therapeutic TargetsU19AI082714 · NIAID · OKLAHOMA MEDICAL RESEARCH FOUNDATION · PI JAMES, JUDITH A · 2009 to 2018
$6.2M
Patient Resource CoreP60AR062755 · NIAMS · MEDICAL UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH CAROLINA · PI NIETERT, PAUL J · 2012 to 2016
$5.8M
Science in a Culture of MentoringP30GM103510 · NIGMS · OKLAHOMA MEDICAL RESEARCH FOUNDATION · PI JAMES, JUDITH A · 2012 to 2016
$3.9M
Understanding early events in lupus autoimmunity to aid preventionU01AI101934 · NIAID · OKLAHOMA MEDICAL RESEARCH FOUNDATION · PI JAMES, JUDITH A · 2012 to 2016
$2.3M
Predicting Systemic Autoimmunity through Follow-up of Blood RelativesRC1AR058554 · NIAMS · OKLAHOMA MEDICAL RESEARCH FOUNDATION · PI JAMES, JUDITH A · 2009 to 2010
$1000k
Hydroxychloroquine Treatment for Prevention of Systemic Lupus ErythematosusU34AR067392 · NIAMS · PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIV HERSHEY MED CTR · PI KARP, DAVID R, OLSEN, NANCY J · 2015 to 2016
$683k
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI024717NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI101934NIAID NIH HHS U19 AI082714NIAMS NIH HHS P30 AR053483NIAMS NIH HHS P30 AR072582NIAMS NIH HHS P60 AR062755NIAMS NIH HHS RC1 AR058554NIAMS NIH HHS U34 AR067392NIGMS NIH HHS P30 GM103510NIGMS NIH HHS U54 GM104938
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveSystemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and other autoimmune diseases cause significant morbidity. Identifying populations at risk of developing SLE is essential for curtailing irreversible inflammatory damage. The aim of this study was to identify factors associated with transition to classified disease that would inform our understanding of the risk of SLE.

methodsPreviously identified blood relatives of patients with SLE, who had <4 American College of Rheumatology (ACR) classification criteria for SLE at baseline, were enrolled in this follow-up study (n = 409 unaffected relatives). Participants provided detailed family, demographic, and clinical information, including the SLE-specific portion of the Connective Tissue Disease Screening Questionnaire (SLE-CSQ). Serum and plasma samples were tested for the presence of lupus-associated autoantibodies and 52 soluble mediators. Generalized estimating equations (GEEs) were applied to identify factors predictive of disease transition.

resultsOf the 409 unaffected relatives of SLE patients, 45 (11%) had transitioned to classified SLE at follow-up (mean time to follow-up 6.4 years). Relatives who transitioned to SLE displayed more lupus-associated autoantibody specificities and higher SLE-CSQ scores (P < 0.0001) at baseline than did relatives who did not transition. Importantly, those who had developed SLE during the follow-up period also had elevated baseline plasma levels of inflammatory mediators, including B lymphocyte stimulator, stem cell factor (SCF), and interferon-associated chemokines (P ≤ 0.02), with concurrent decreases in the levels of regulatory mediators, transforming growth factor β (TGFβ), and interleukin-10 (P ≤ 0.03). GEE analyses revealed that baseline SLE-CSQ scores or ACR scores (number of ACR criteria satisfied) and plasma levels of SCF and TGFβ, but not autoantibodies, were significant and independent predictors of SLE transition (P ≤ 0.03).

conclusionPreclinical alterations in levels of soluble mediators may predict transition to classified disease in relatives of SLE patients. Thus, immune perturbations precede SLE classification and can help identify high-risk relatives for rheumatology referral and potential enrollment in prevention trials.

Indexed as

AutoantibodiesFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansInflammation MediatorsLupus Erythematosus, SystemicMaleMiddle AgedRisk AssessmentAutoantibodiesInflammation Mediators

Identifiers

PMID27863174
PMCPMC5329053
OpenAlexW2618948318

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.