Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27862652›Full record

ArticleDiseases of the esophagus : official journal of the International Society for Diseases of the Esophagus2017

An age-period-cohort analysis of obesity and incident esophageal adenocarcinoma among white males.

Caitlin C Murphy, Y Claire Yang, Nicholas J Shaheen, Wayne L Hofstetter, Robert S Sandler

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Diseases of the esophagus : official journal of the International Society for Diseases of the Esophagus, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Economic Burden of Obesity: A Systematic Literature Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2017
    Pooled it
  3. Article
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  5. Article
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  7. Article
  8. Sex Differences in the Incidence of Obesity-Related Gastrointestinal Cancer.International journal of molecular sciences · 2021
    Review
  9. Epidemiology and Outcomes of Young-Onset Esophageal Adenocarcinoma: An Analysis from a Population-Based Database.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2021
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Caitlin C MurphyDepartment of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.
Y Claire YangDepartment of Sociology, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.
Nicholas J ShaheenDepartment of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.
Wayne L HofstetterDepartment of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas, USA.
Robert S SandlerDepartment of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.

Funding

Virology Research Program (Program 4)P30CA016086 · NCI · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI David Darr · 1985 to 2026
$201.5M
DIGESTIVE DISEASES EPIDEMIOLOGY TRAINING PROGRAMT32DK007634 · NIDDK · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI ROBERT S. SANDLER · 1990 to 2026
$7.4M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA016086NIDDK NIH HHS T32 DK007634
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The incidence of esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) has increased in recent decades. Increases in incidence have been attributed to changes in the prevalence of risk factors for EAC; however, the extent to which these changes explain increases in EAC incidence has not been studied in detail. We used age-period-cohort analysis to estimate changes in the incidence of EAC among white males by age, time period, and birth cohort. Incidence rates per 100,000 individuals were analyzed from 1973 to 2012. Hierarchical Poisson models were used to estimate age, period, and cohort effects, whereby age-specific incidence rates were nested within periods and cohorts. The prevalence of obesity for each time period and birth cohort was included in the model as a fixed-effect. Incidence increased with advancing age (β = 0.12, P < 0.01). There were significant period and birth cohort effects, although the period effect was much larger than the cohort effect. The period effect decreased dramatically when obesity was included as a fixed effect, while the small cohort effect remained unchanged. Results suggest much of the increase in the incidence of EAC can be attributed to a period effect, which may be due to changes in the prevalence of obesity over time.

Indexed as

Age FactorsTime FactorsAdenocarcinomaAdultAgedAged, 80 and overCohort StudiesEsophageal NeoplasmsHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedObesityPrevalenceRisk FactorsSEER Programbody mass indexesophageal neoplasmsincidencemaleSEER programtime factors

Identifiers

PMID27862652
PMCPMC5386785

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.