Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27859281›Full record

SynthesisThe Journal of animal ecology2017

Temporal shifts and temperature sensitivity of avian spring migratory phenology: a phylogenetic meta-analysis.

Takuji Usui, Stuart H M Butchart, Albert B Phillimore

Open access · hybridAbstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in The Journal of animal ecology, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 40 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
40citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
15.2field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

40 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 155 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. The effect of climate change on avian offspring production: A global meta-analysis.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Article
  6. Article
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  10. Climate-related drivers of migratory bird health in the south-central USA.Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society · 2025
    Review
  11. Persistent species relationships characterize migrating bird communities across stopover sites and seasons.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  12. Avian migration clocks in a changing world.Journal of comparative physiology. A, Neuroethology, sensory, neural, and behavioral physiology · 2024
    Review
  13. Decoupling of bird migration from the changing phenology of spring green-up.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  14. Climate change drives migratory range shift via individual plasticity in shearwaters.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Takuji UsuiInstitute of Evolutionary Biology, University of Edinburgh, King's Buildings, Edinburgh, EH9 3JT, UK.
Stuart H M ButchartBirdLife International, David Attenborough Building, Pembroke Street, Cambridge, CB2 3QZ, UK.
Albert B PhillimoreInstitute of Evolutionary Biology, University of Edinburgh, King's Buildings, Edinburgh, EH9 3JT, UK.
University of Edinburgh · GBBirdLife international · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

There are wide reports of advances in the timing of spring migration of birds over time and in relation to rising temperatures, though phenological responses vary substantially within and among species. An understanding of the ecological, life-history and geographic variables that predict this intra- and interspecific variation can guide our projections of how populations and species are likely to respond to future climate change. Here, we conduct phylogenetic meta-analyses addressing slope estimates of the timing of avian spring migration regressed on (i) year and (ii) temperature, representing a total of 413 species across five continents. We take into account slope estimation error and examine phylogenetic, ecological and geographic predictors of intra- and interspecific variation. We confirm earlier findings that on average birds have significantly advanced their spring migration time by 2·1 days per decade and 1·2 days °C

Indexed as

Animal MigrationAnimalsBirdsClimate ChangePhylogenySeasonsTemperaturearrival datebird migration timingclimate changemigratory phenologyplasticity

Identifiers

PMID27859281
PMCPMC6849580
OpenAlexW2555484422

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.