Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27859120›Full record

ArticleEcology2016

Disease introduction is associated with a phase transition in bighorn sheep demographics.

Kezia Manlove, E Frances Cassirer, Paul C Cross, Raina K Plowright, Peter J Hudson

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Ecology, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed
5.4field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 42 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
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  7. Article
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  10. Disease Ecology of a Low-VirulenceAnimals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2022
    Article
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  13. Impact ofPeerJ · 2021
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  14. Article
  15. Removal of chronicEcology and evolution · 2020
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Kezia ManloveCenter for Infectious Disease Dynamics, Pennsylvania State University, 208 Mueller Lab, University Park, Pennsylvania, 16802, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7200-5236
E Frances CassirerIdaho Department of Fish and Game, 3316 16th Street, Lewiston, Idaho, 83501, USA.
Paul C CrossU.S. Geological Society Northern Rocky Mountain Science Center, 2327 University Way, Suite 2, Bozeman, Montana, 59715, USA.
Raina K PlowrightDepartment of Microbiology and Immunology, Montana State University, 109 Lewis Hall, Bozeman, Montana, 59717, USA.
Peter J HudsonCenter for Infectious Disease Dynamics, Pennsylvania State University, 208 Mueller Lab, University Park, Pennsylvania, 16802, USA.
Pennsylvania State University · USGeological Society of America · USIdaho Department of Fish and Game · USMontana State University · US

Funding

Research Core (Developmental Research Project Program)P20GM103474 · NIGMS · MONTANA STATE UNIVERSITY - BOZEMAN · PI Jeffrey Good · 2012 to 2026
$60.0M
Pilot Grants ProgramP30GM110732 · NIGMS · MONTANA STATE UNIVERSITY - BOZEMAN · PI QUINN, MARK T · 2014 to 2018
$5.4M
NIGMS NIH HHS P20 GM103474NIGMS NIH HHS P30 GM110732
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Ecological theory suggests that pathogens are capable of regulating or limiting host population dynamics, and this relationship has been empirically established in several settings. However, although studies of childhood diseases were integral to the development of disease ecology, few studies show population limitation by a disease affecting juveniles. Here, we present empirical evidence that disease in lambs constrains population growth in bighorn sheep (Ovis canadensis) based on 45 years of population-level and 18 years of individual-level monitoring across 12 populations. While populations generally increased (λ = 1.11) prior to disease introduction, most of these same populations experienced an abrupt change in trajectory at the time of disease invasion, usually followed by stagnant-to-declining growth rates (λ = 0.98) over the next 20 years. Disease-induced juvenile mortality imposed strong constraints on population growth that were not observed prior to disease introduction, even as adult survival returned to pre-invasion levels. Simulations suggested that models including persistent disease-induced mortality in juveniles qualitatively matched observed population trajectories, whereas models that only incorporated all-age disease events did not. We use these results to argue that pathogen persistence may pose a lasting, but under-recognized, threat to host populations, particularly in cases where clinical disease manifests primarily in juveniles.

Indexed as

Sheep, BighornSheep DiseasesAnimalsAnimals, WildPopulation DynamicsPopulation GrowthSheepbighorn sheepchildhood diseasedemographic trendsdisease-induced mortalityintegrated population modelpathogen persistencepopulation projection matrixvital rateswildlife disease

Identifiers

PMID27859120
PMCPMC5116922
OpenAlexW2498715987

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.