Observational studyBMJ open2016
Does the UKCAT predict performance on exit from medical school? A national cohort study.
Observational study in BMJ open, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
13 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 24 citations in OpenAlex.
- Assessing the predictive validity of the UCAT-A systematic review and narrative synthesis.Medical teacher · 2022Pooled it
- Does the UKCAT predict performance in medical and dental school? A systematic review.BMJ open · 2021Pooled it
- Situational judgement testing at different stages of undergraduate medical training and the risk of professionalism lapses: A cohort study.Medical education · 2026Article
- Is the awarding gap at UK medical schools influenced by ethnicity and medical school attended? A retrospective cohort study.BMJ open · 2023Article
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- UKCAT and medical student selection in the UK - what has changed since 2006?BMC medical education · 2020Article
- A comparison of undergraduate outcomes for students from gateway courses and standard entry medicine courses.BMC medical education · 2020Article
- Impact of accelerated, graduate-entry medicine courses: a comparison of profile, success, and specialty destination between graduate entrants to accelerated or standard medicine courses in UK.BMC medical education · 2018Article
- Do changing medical admissions practices in the UK impact on who is admitted? An interrupted time series analysis.BMJ open · 2018Article
- Relationship between sociodemographic factors and selection into UK postgraduate medical training programmes: a national cohort study.BMJ open · 2018Article
- Correcting the predictive validity of a selection test for the effect of indirect range restriction.BMC medical education · 2017Article
- The relationship between school type and academic performance at medical school: a national, multi-cohort study.BMJ open · 2017Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
objectivesMost UK medical programmes use aptitude tests during student selection, but large-scale studies of predictive validity are rare. This study assesses the UK Clinical Aptitude Test (UKCAT: http://www.ukcat.ac.uk), and 4 of its subscales, along with individual and contextual socioeconomic background factors, as predictors of performance during, and on exit from, medical school.
methodsThis was an observational study of 6294 medical students from 30 UK medical programmes who took the UKCAT from 2006 to 2008, for whom selection data from the UK Foundation Programme (UKFPO), the next stage of UK medical education training, were available in 2013. We included candidate demographics, UKCAT (cognitive domains; total scores), UKFPO Educational Performance Measure (EPM) and national exit situational judgement test (SJT). Multilevel modelling was used to assess relationships between variables, adjusting for confounders.
resultsThe UKCAT-as a total score and in terms of the subtest scores-has significant predictive validity for performance on the UKFPO EPM and SJT. UKFPO performance was also affected positively by female gender, maturity, white ethnicity and coming from a higher social class area at the time of application to medical school An inverse pattern was seen for a contextual measure of school, with those attending fee-paying schools performing significantly more weakly on the EPM decile, the EPM total and the total UKFPO score, but not the SJT, than those attending other types of school.
conclusionsThis large-scale study, the first to link 2 national databases-UKCAT and UKFPO, has shown that UKCAT is a predictor of medical school outcome. The data provide modest supportive evidence for the UKCAT's role in student selection. The conflicting relationships of socioeconomic contextual measures (area and school) with outcome adds to wider debates about the limitations of these measures, and indicates the need for further research.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.