Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27848989›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2016

Population exposure to hazardous air quality due to the 2015 fires in Equatorial Asia.

P Crippa, S Castruccio, S Archer-Nicholls, G B Lebron, M Kuwata, A Thota, S Sumin, E Butt, C Wiedinmyer, D V Spracklen

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 38 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
38citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

38 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Haze and health impacts in ASEAN countries: a systematic review.Environmental science and pollution research international · 2018
    Pooled it
  2. Review
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  4. Long-range PMNature · 2025
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  8. Association between long-term PMEnvironmental monitoring and assessment · 2024
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  10. California Case Study of Wildfires and Prescribed Burns: PMEnvironmental science & technology · 2024
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. The health impacts of Indonesian peatland fires.Environmental health : a global access science source · 2022
    Article
  14. Tripling of western US particulate pollution from wildfires in a warming climate.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022
    Article
  15. Association between satellite-based estimates of long-term PMEnvironmental science and pollution research international · 2022
    Article
  16. Deciphering Multifactorial Correlations of COVID-19 Incidence and Mortality in the Brazilian Amazon Basin.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Article
  17. Article
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  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

P CrippaCOMET, School of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, NE1 7RU, UK.
S CastruccioSchool of Mathematics and Statistics, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, NE1 7RU, UK.
S Archer-NichollsAtmospheric Chemistry Observations &Modeling Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, 80301, USA.
G B LebronEarth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological University, 639798, Singapore.
M KuwataEarth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological University, 639798, Singapore.
A ThotaPervasive Technology Institute, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN 47405, USA.
S SuminEnvironmental Agency, Pekanbaru City, Riau Province, Indonesia.
E ButtSchool of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2 9JT, UK.
C WiedinmyerAtmospheric Chemistry Observations &Modeling Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, 80301, USA.
D V SpracklenSchool of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2 9JT, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Vegetation and peatland fires cause poor air quality and thousands of premature deaths across densely populated regions in Equatorial Asia. Strong El-Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole conditions are associated with an increase in the frequency and intensity of wildfires in Indonesia and Borneo, enhancing population exposure to hazardous concentrations of smoke and air pollutants. Here we investigate the impact on air quality and population exposure of wildfires in Equatorial Asia during Fall 2015, which were the largest over the past two decades. We performed high-resolution simulations using the Weather Research and Forecasting model with Chemistry based on a new fire emission product. The model captures the spatio-temporal variability of extreme pollution episodes relative to space- and ground-based observations and allows for identification of pollution sources and transport over Equatorial Asia. We calculate that high particulate matter concentrations from fires during Fall 2015 were responsible for persistent exposure of 69 million people to unhealthy air quality conditions. Short-term exposure to this pollution may have caused 11,880 (6,153-17,270) excess mortalities. Results from this research provide decision-relevant information to policy makers regarding the impact of land use changes and human driven deforestation on fire frequency and population exposure to degraded air quality.

Indexed as

Air PollutantsAir PollutionEnvironmental ExposureModels, TheoreticalSmokeWildfiresAsiaFemaleHumansMaleAir PollutantsSmoke

Identifiers

PMID27848989
PMCPMC5111049

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.