Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27846895›Full record

ArticleCritical care (London, England)2016

Development and validation of a prehospital prediction model for acute traumatic coagulopathy.

Ithan D Peltan, Ali Rowhani-Rahbar, Lisa K Vande Vusse, Ellen Caldwell, Thomas D Rea, Ronald V Maier, Timothy R Watkins

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Critical care (London, England), 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
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  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
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  11. Early identification of trauma patients in need for emergent transfusion: results of a single-center retrospective study evaluating three scoring systems.European journal of trauma and emergency surgery : official publication of the European Trauma Society · 2019
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Thromboelastometry and Thrombelastography Analysis under Normal Physiological Conditions - Systematic Review.Transfusion medicine and hemotherapy : offizielles Organ der Deutschen Gesellschaft fur Transfusionsmedizin und Immunhamatologie · 2017
    Article
  14. A Machine Learning-Based Model to Predict Acute Traumatic Coagulopathy in Trauma Patients Upon Emergency Hospitalization.Clinical and applied thrombosis/hemostasis : official journal of the International Academy of Clinical and Applied Thrombosis/Hemostasis
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Ithan D PeltanDivision of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Washington School of Medicine, 1959 NE Pacific St, Box 356522, Seattle, WA, 98195, USA. ipeltan@uw.edu.
Ali Rowhani-RahbarDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Washington School of Public Health, Seattle, WA, USA.
Lisa K Vande VusseDivision of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Washington School of Medicine, 1959 NE Pacific St, Box 356522, Seattle, WA, 98195, USA.
Ellen CaldwellDivision of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Washington School of Medicine, 1959 NE Pacific St, Box 356522, Seattle, WA, 98195, USA.
Thomas D ReaDepartment of Medicine, University of Washington School of Medicine, Seattle, WA, USA.
Ronald V MaierDepartment of Surgery, University of Washington School of Medicine, Seattle, WA, USA.
Timothy R WatkinsDivision of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Washington School of Medicine, 1959 NE Pacific St, Box 356522, Seattle, WA, 98195, USA.

Funding

Transform Dissemination and Implementation Science in CTSA ProgramsUL1TR002319 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI John K. Amory · 2017 to 2026
$100.0M
Institute of Translational Health SciencesUL1TR000423 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI DISIS, MARY L. · 2012 to 2016
$49.4M
RESPIRATORY RESEARCH TRAINING PROGRAMT32HL007287 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI Kristina Anne Crothers, David J. Horne · 1985 to 2026
$16.7M
Trauma and Acute Lung Injury: The Role of Red Blood Cell Storage and TransfusionK23GM086729 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI WATKINS, TIMOTHY RYAN · 2009 to 2013
$718k
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000423NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR002319NHLBI NIH HHS T32 HL007287NIGMS NIH HHS K23 GM086729
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAcute traumatic coagulopathy (ATC) is a syndrome of early, endogenous clotting dysfunction that afflicts up to 30% of severely injured patients, signaling an increased likelihood of all-cause and hemorrhage-associated mortality. To aid identification of patients within the likely therapeutic window for ATC and facilitate study of its mechanisms and targeted treatment, we developed and validated a prehospital ATC prediction model.

methodsConstruction of a parsimonious multivariable logistic regression model predicting ATC - defined as an admission international normalized ratio >1.5 - employed data from 1963 severely injured patients admitted to an Oregon trauma system hospital between 2008 and 2012 who received prehospital care but did not have isolated head injury. The prediction model was validated using data from 285 severely injured patients admitted to a level 1 trauma center in Seattle, WA, USA between 2009 and 2013.

resultsThe final Prediction of Acute Coagulopathy of Trauma (PACT) score incorporated age, injury mechanism, prehospital shock index and Glasgow Coma Score values, and prehospital cardiopulmonary resuscitation and endotracheal intubation. In the validation cohort, the PACT score demonstrated better discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.80 vs. 0.70, p = 0.032) and likely improved calibration compared to a previously published prehospital ATC prediction score. Designating PACT scores ≥196 as positive resulted in sensitivity and specificity for ATC of 73% and 74%, respectively.

conclusionsOur prediction model uses routinely available and objective prehospital data to identify patients at increased risk of ATC. The PACT score could facilitate subject selection for studies of targeted treatment of ATC.

Indexed as

Injury Severity ScoreModels, TheoreticalAcute DiseaseAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overBlood Coagulation DisordersCohort StudiesEmergency Medical ServicesFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsProspective StudiesAcute traumatic coagulopathyMassive transfusionPost-traumatic coagulopathyPrediction modelPrediction scorePrehospitalRisk stratificationTrauma

Identifiers

PMID27846895
PMCPMC5111191

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.