Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27846599›Full record

ArticleScience (New York, N.Y.)2016

Potent protection against H5N1 and H7N9 influenza via childhood hemagglutinin imprinting.

Katelyn M Gostic, Monique Ambrose, Michael Worobey, James O Lloyd-Smith

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science (New York, N.Y.), 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 355 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
355citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

355 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. A Randomized, Placebo-Controlled Trial to Evaluate the Safety and Efficacy of VIR-2482 in Healthy Adults for Prevention of Influenza A Illness (PENINSULA).Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2024
    Trial
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. The ageing immune system and its battle with viruses.The Journal of general virology · 2026
    Review
  13. Review
  14. Review
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Review
  19. Article
  20. Article

295 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Katelyn M GosticDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA.
Monique AmbroseDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA.
Michael WorobeyDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721, USA. worobey@email.arizona.edu jlloydsmith@ucla.edu.
James O Lloyd-SmithDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA. worobey@email.arizona.edu jlloydsmith@ucla.edu.

Funding

Systems in Integrative BiologyT32GM008185 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI CHOU, TOM · 1987 to 2022
$4.6M
NIGMS NIH HHS T32 GM008185
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Two zoonotic influenza A viruses (IAV) of global concern, H5N1 and H7N9, exhibit unexplained differences in age distribution of human cases. Using data from all known human cases of these viruses, we show that an individual's first IAV infection confers lifelong protection against severe disease from novel hemagglutinin (HA) subtypes in the same phylogenetic group. Statistical modeling shows that protective HA imprinting is the crucial explanatory factor, and it provides 75% protection against severe infection and 80% protection against death for both H5N1 and H7N9. Our results enable us to predict age distributions of severe disease for future pandemics and demonstrate that a novel strain's pandemic potential increases yearly when a group-mismatched HA subtype dominates seasonal influenza circulation. These findings open new frontiers for rational pandemic risk assessment.

Indexed as

Genomic ImprintingAge FactorsAnimalsChildGlobal HealthHemagglutinin Glycoproteins, Influenza VirusHumansInfluenza A Virus, H5N1 SubtypeInfluenza A Virus, H7N9 SubtypeInfluenza, HumanModels, StatisticalPandemicsRisk AssessmentZoonosesHemagglutinin Glycoproteins, Influenza Virus

Identifiers

PMID27846599
PMCPMC5134739

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.