Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27835945›Full record

Observational studyBMC pulmonary medicine2016

External validation of multidimensional prognostic indices (ADO, BODEx and DOSE) in a primary care international cohort (PROEPOC/COPD cohort).

Maite Espantoso-Romero, Miguel Román Rodríguez, Ana Duarte-Pérez, Jaime Gonzálvez-Rey, Pedro A Callejas-Cabanillas, Durdica Kasuba Lazic, Berta Anta-Agudo, Pere Torán Monserrat, Rosa Magallon-Botaya, Biljana Gerasimovska Kitanovska and 6 more

Open access · goldAbstract readMulticenter StudyObservational StudyValidation Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMC pulmonary medicine, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
0.8field-weighted citation impact, top 23% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 6 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors at 11 institutions in 5 countries.

Maite Espantoso-RomeroTeis Health Centre, Xerencia de Xestión Integrada, Vigo, Spain.
Miguel Román RodríguezSon Pisà Health Centre, IB-Salut Balears, Palma de Mallorca, Spain.
Ana Duarte-PérezCangas Health Centre, Xerencia de Xestión Integrada, Vigo, Spain.
Jaime Gonzálvez-ReyMatamá Health Centre, Xerencia de Xestión Integrada, Vigo, Spain.
Pedro A Callejas-CabanillasTeis Health Centre, Xerencia de Xestión Integrada, Vigo, Spain.
Durdica Kasuba LazicDepartment of Family Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Zagreb, Zagreb, Croatia.
Berta Anta-AgudoBarrio La Salud Health Centre, Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Spain.
Pere Torán MonserratFamily Medicine, Jordi Gol Institute for Primary Care Research, Santa Coloma de Gramenet, Spain.
Rosa Magallon-BotayaArrabal Health Centre, Zaragoza, Spain.
Biljana Gerasimovska KitanovskaDepartment of Family Medicine, University of Sts. Cyril and Methodius, Skopje, Macedonia.
Heidrun LingnerHannover Medical School, Centre for Public Health and Healthcare, Hannover, Germany.
Radost S AssenovaDepartment General Practice, Medical University of Plovdiv, Plovdiv, Bulgaria.
Claudia IftodeCabinet Medical De Medicina Familiei, Timisoara, Romania.
Francisco Gude-SampedroEpidemiology Department, Clinical University Hospital of Santiago de Compostela, Santiago de Compostela, Spain.
Ana ClaveríaPrimary Care, Instituto Investigación Sanitaria Galicia Sur, Xerencia de Xestión Integrada, Vigo, Spain. anaclaveriaf@gmail.com.ORCID 0000-0001-9552-1260
PROEPOC/COPD study group
Hospital de Mataró · ESMedical University Plovdiv · BGServei de Salut de les Illes Balears · ESUniversidade de Santiago de Compostela · ESUniversity of Zagreb · HRGalicia Sur Biomedical Foundation · ESHospital Xeral Calde · ESInstituto Aragonés de Ciencias de la Salud · ESInstitut Universitari d'Investigació en Atenció Primària Jordi Gol · ESMedizinische Hochschule Hannover · DEServicio Canario de la Salud · ES

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDue to the heterogeneous and systemic nature of the chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), the new guidelines are oriented toward individualized attention. Multidimensional scales could facilitate its proper clinical and prognostic assessment, but not all of them were validated in an international primary care cohort, different from the original ones used for model development. Therefore, our main aim is to assess the prognostic capacity of the ADO, BODEx and DOSE indices in primary care for predicting mortality in COPD patients and to validate the models obtained in subgroups of patients, classified by revised Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (2011) and updated Spanish Guideline (2014). Besides, we want to confirm that the prognostic capacity of all indices increases if the number of exacerbations is substituted by the interval between them and to assess the impact on health of the patient's lifestyle, social network and adherence to treatment.

methodsDesign: External validation of scales, open and prospective cohort study in primary care.

setting36 health centres in 6 European high, medium and low income countries. SUBJECTS: 477 patients diagnosed with COPD, captured in clinical visit by their General Practitioner/Nurse. PREDICTORS: Detailed patient history, exacerbations, lung function test and questionnaires at baseline. OUTCOMES: Exacerbations, all-cause mortality and specific mortality, within 5 years of recruitment. ANALYSIS: Multivariate logistic regression and Cox regression will be used. Possible non-linear effect of the indices will be studied by using Structured Additive Regression models with penalised splines. Subsequently, we will assess different aspects of the regression models: discrimination, calibration and diagnostic precision. Clinical variables modulated in primary care and the interval between exacerbations will be considered and incorporated into the analysis. DISCUSSION: The Research Agenda for General Practice/Family Medicine highlights that the evidence on predictive values of prognostic indices in primary care is scarce. A prospective cohort like that of PROEPOC/COPD provides good opportunities for research into COPD and make communication easier between family practitioners, nursing staff, pneumologists and other professionals, supporting a multi-disciplinary approach to the treatment of these patients.

trial registrationISRCTN52402811 . Date: 15/01/2015. Prospectively registered.

Indexed as

Disease ProgressionSeverity of Illness IndexEuropeHumansLogistic ModelsMultivariate AnalysisPrimary Health CarePrognosisProportional Hazards ModelsProspective StudiesPulmonary Disease, Chronic ObstructiveRespiratory Function TestsRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsSurveys and QuestionnairesChronic obstructive pulmonary diseasePrimary health carePrognosisValidation studies as topic

Identifiers

PMID27835945
PMCPMC5106777
OpenAlexW2553381413

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.