Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27824767›Full record

ArticleObstetrics and gynecology2016

Similar Risk Patterns After Cervical Screening in Two Large U.S. Populations: Implications for Clinical Guidelines.

Julia C Gage, William C Hunt, Mark Schiffman, Hormuzd A Katki, Li A Cheung, Orrin Myers, Jack Cuzick, Nicolas Wentzensen, Walter Kinney, Philip E Castle and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Obstetrics and gynecology, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  16. Transitioning from HPV 101 to HPV 202.American journal of obstetrics and gynecology · 2017
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Julia C GageDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Department of Health & Human Services, Bethesda, Maryland; the Departments of Pathology, Internal Medicine, and Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of New Mexico Health Sciences Center, Albuquerque, New Mexico; Information Management Services Inc., Calverton, Maryland; the Centre for Cancer Prevention, Wolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine, Queen Mary University of London, Charterhouse Square, London, United Kingdom; the Division of Gynecologic Oncology, Kaiser Permanente Medical Care Program, Oakland, California; and the Albert Einstein College of Medicine, New York, New York.
William C Hunt
Mark Schiffman
Hormuzd A Katki
Li A Cheung
Orrin Myers
Jack Cuzick
Nicolas Wentzensen
Walter Kinney
Philip E Castle
Cosette M Wheeler
New Mexico HPV Pap Registry Steering Committee

Funding

Human Papillomavirus (HPV) Natural History, Genomics and Risk AssessmentZIACP010206 · NCI · DIVISION OF CANCER EPIDEMIOLOGY AND GENETICS · PI SCHIFFMAN, MARK · 2010 to 2025
$17.1M
Patient- and Practice-Centered Assessment of Self-CollectionU54CA164336 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF NEW MEXICO HEALTH SCIS CTR · PI WHEELER, COSETTE MARIE · 2011 to 2017
$5.5M
Cancer Research UK 16891NCI NIH HHS U54 CA164336
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo compare the risks of histologic high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) or worse after different cervical cancer screening test results between two of the largest U.S. clinical practice research data sets.

methodsThe New Mexico Human Papillomavirus (HPV) Pap Registry is a statewide registry representing a diverse population experiencing varied clinical practice delivery. Kaiser Permanente Northern California is a large integrated health care delivery system practicing routine HPV cotesting since 2003. In this retrospective cohort study, a logistic-Weibull survival model was used to estimate and compare the cumulative 3- and 5-year risks of histologic CIN 3 or worse among women aged 21-64 years screened in 2007-2011 in the New Mexico HPV Pap Registry and 2003-2013 in Kaiser Permanente Northern California. Results were stratified by age and baseline screening result: negative cytology, atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance (ASC-US) (with or without HPV triage), low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion, and high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion.

resultsThere were 453,618 women in the New Mexico HPV Pap Registry and 1,307,528 women at Kaiser Permanente Northern California. The 5-year CIN 3 or worse risks were similar within screening results across populations: cytology negative (0.52% and 0.30%, respectively, P<.001), HPV-negative and ASC-US (0.72% and 0.49%, respectively, P=.5), ASC-US (3.4% and 3.4%, respectively, P=.8), HPV-positive and ASC-US (7.7% and 7.1%, respectively, P=.3), low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (6.5% and 5.4%, respectively, P=.009), and high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (53.1% and 50.4%, respectively, P=.2). Cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or worse risks and 3-year risks had similar trends across populations. Age-stratified analyses showed more variability, especially among women aged younger than 30 years, but patterns of risk stratification were comparable.

conclusionCurrent U.S. cervical screening and management recommendations are based on comparative risks of histologic high-grade CIN after screening test results. The similar results from these two large cohorts from different real-life clinical practice settings support risk-based management thresholds across U.S. clinical populations and practice settings.

Indexed as

AdultAtypical Squamous Cells of the CervixCaliforniaFemaleHumansMiddle AgedNeoplasm GradingNew MexicoPapanicolaou TestPractice Guidelines as TopicRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsUterine Cervical DysplasiaUterine Cervical NeoplasmsVaginal Smears

Identifiers

PMID27824767
PMCPMC5247269

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.