Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27824254›Full record

ArticleAIDS research and human retroviruses2017

Estimating HIV Incidence Using a Cross-Sectional Survey: Comparison of Three Approaches in a Hyperendemic Setting, Ndhiwa Subcounty, Kenya, 2012.

Stéphanie Blaizot, Andrea A Kim, Clement Zeh, Benjamin Riche, David Maman, Kevin M De Cock, Jean-François Etard, René Ecochard

Abstract readComparative StudyEvaluation Study
In one paragraph

Article in AIDS research and human retroviruses, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Stéphanie Blaizot1 Hospices Civils de Lyon, Service de Biostatistique , Lyon, France .
Andrea A Kim5 Division of Global HIV/AIDS, U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention , Nairobi, Kenya .
Clement Zeh6 Division of HIV/AIDS Prevention, U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention , Kisumu, Kenya .
Benjamin Riche1 Hospices Civils de Lyon, Service de Biostatistique , Lyon, France .
David Maman7 Epicentre , Paris, France .
Kevin M De Cock5 Division of Global HIV/AIDS, U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention , Nairobi, Kenya .
Jean-François Etard7 Epicentre , Paris, France .
René Ecochard1 Hospices Civils de Lyon, Service de Biostatistique , Lyon, France .

Funding

Intramural CDC HHS CC999999
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesEstimating HIV incidence is critical for identifying groups at risk for HIV infection, planning and targeting interventions, and evaluating these interventions over time. The use of reliable estimation methods for HIV incidence is thus of high importance. The aim of this study was to compare methods for estimating HIV incidence in a population-based cross-sectional survey. DESIGN/

methodsThe incidence estimation methods evaluated included assay-derived methods, a testing history-derived method, and a probability-based method applied to data from the Ndhiwa HIV Impact in Population Survey (NHIPS). Incidence rates by sex and age and cumulative incidence as a function of age were presented.

resultsHIV incidence ranged from 1.38 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.67-2.09] to 3.30 [95% CI 2.78-3.82] per 100 person-years overall; 0.59 [95% CI 0.00-1.34] to 2.89 [95% CI 0.86-6.45] in men; and 1.62 [95% CI 0.16-6.04] to 4.03 [95% CI 3.30-4.77] per 100 person-years in women. Women had higher incidence rates than men for all methods. Incidence rates were highest among women aged 15-24 and 25-34 years and highest among men aged 25-34 years.

conclusionComparison of different methods showed variations in incidence estimates, but they were in agreement to identify most-at-risk groups. The use and comparison of several distinct approaches for estimating incidence are important to provide the best-supported estimate of HIV incidence in the population.

Indexed as

Epidemiologic MethodsAdolescentAdultAge FactorsCross-Sectional StudiesFemaleHIV InfectionsHumansIncidenceKenyaMaleMiddle AgedSex FactorsYoung AdultAfricaHIV/AIDS epidemicincidenceincidence assayincidence estimationstatistical model

Identifiers

PMID27824254
PMCPMC6779630

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.