SynthesisInternational journal of epidemiology2017
Time-discounting and tobacco smoking: a systematic review and network analysis.
Synthesis in International journal of epidemiology, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 53 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
53 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 81 citations in OpenAlex.
- Evidence of detrimental effects of prenatal alcohol exposure on offspring birthweight and neurodevelopment from a systematic review of quasi-experimental studies.International journal of epidemiology · 2021Pooled it
- Relationship between monetary delay discounting and obesity: a systematic review and meta-regression.International journal of obesity (2005) · 2019Pooled it
- Use and effectiveness of behavioural economics in interventions for lifestyle risk factors of non-communicable diseases: a systematic review with policy implications.Perspectives in public health · 2018Pooled it
- Pooled it
- Differential Responses to Cigarette Package Labeling Alternatives Among Adults Who Smoke: Results From a Randomized Trial.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2024Trial
- Delay discounting demonstrates lower impulsivity linked to a higher likelihood of succeeding at smoking cessation.Addictive behaviors · 2024Trial
- Differences in the Effect of Internet-Based Cognitive Behavioral Therapy for Improving Nonclinical Depressive Symptoms Among Workers by Time Preference: Randomized Controlled Trial.Journal of medical Internet research · 2018Trial
- Prevalence of smoking and factors associated with smoking cessation among diabetic patients in Chongqing, China: A cross-sectional study.Tobacco induced diseases · 2026Article
- From self-organizing systems to subjective temporal extension.Neuroscience of consciousness · 2026Article
- Quitting Shisha Smoking Among Young Adults in Germany: Insights From an Online Survey on Sociodemographic, Perceptual and Behavioural Economic Factors Associated With Quit Attempts.Tobacco use insights · 2026Article
- Risk, reward and loss in addictive behavior: a six-year cross-lagged panel study.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Smoking status and voting behaviour and intentions in countries of the former Soviet Union.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Article
- Exploring the association of time-inconsistent preferences with smoking behavior: A cross-sectional survey study from Sichuan, China.Tobacco induced diseases · 2025Article
- Ecological momentary assessment of delay discounting, reward valuation, and craving in very light cigarette users.Journal of the experimental analysis of behavior · 2024Article
- Associations Between Self-Reported Sleep Quality, Fatigue Severity, Factors Associated With Successful Cessation, and Cessation Beliefs Among Regular Smokers.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2024Observational
- Assessing the relationship between delay discounting and decisions to engage in various protective behaviors during COVID-19.Cognitive research: principles and implications · 2024Article
- Association between smoking and central sensitization pain: a web-based cross-sectional study.Journal of anesthesia · 2024Article
- Smoking Dependence, Time-Discounting, and Sustained Cessation Behavior: A Longitudinal Study of Predominantly Light Smokers.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2024Article
- The role of chronic pain and pain anxiety in delay discounting of pain and monetary losses.Scientific reports · 2023Article
Corrections and comments
- Commented on by
- Erratum issued
Authors and funding
5 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.
Funding
Abstract
Background: Tobacco smoking harms health, so why do people smoke and fail to quit? An explanation originating in behavioural economics suggests a role for time-discounting, which describes how the value of a reward, such as better health, decreases with delay to its receipt. A large number of studies test the relationship of time-discounting with tobacco outcomes but the temporal pattern of this relationship and its variation according to measurement methods remain unclear. We review the association between time-discounting and smoking across (i) the life course, from initiation to cessation, and (ii) diverse discount measures. Methods: We identified 69 relevant studies in Web of Science and PubMed. We synthesized findings across methodologies and evaluated discount measures, study quality and cross-disciplinary fertilization. Results: In 44 out of 54 studies, smokers more greatly discounted the future than non-smokers and, in longitudinal studies, higher discounting predicted future smoking. Smokers with lower time-discount rates achieved higher quit rates. Findings were consistent across studies measuring discount rates using hypothetical monetary or cigarette reward scenarios. The methodological quality of the majority of studies was rated as 'moderate' and co-citation analysis revealed an isolation of economics journals and a dearth of studies in public health. Conclusion: There is moderate yet consistent evidence that high time-discounting is a risk factor for smoking and unsuccessful cessation. Policy scenarios assuming a flat rate of population discounting may inadequately capture smokers' perceptions of costs and benefits.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.