ArticlePloS one2016
Mapping Risk of Malaria Transmission in Mainland Portugal Using a Mathematical Modelling Approach.
Article in PloS one, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.
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Who cites it
13 citing papers in PubMed.
- Imported Malaria and Congenital Acquisition in Infant, Portugal, 2024.Emerging infectious diseases · 2025Article
- Mapping residual malaria transmission in Vietnam.The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific · 2025Article
- Spatiotemporal analysis of mosquito-borne infections and mosquito vectors in mainland Portugal.BMC infectious diseases · 2025Article
- Prediction of the Risk Distributions for Anopheles sinensis, a Vector for Malaria in Shanghai, China.The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene · 2023Article
- Receptivity to malaria: meaning and measurement.Malaria journal · 2022Review
- Malaria beyond its predominant endemic regions: Emerging threat or sporadic events?Frontiers in medicine · 2022Article
- Imported Malaria in Portugal: Prevalence of Polymorphisms in the Anti-Malarial Drug Resistance GenesMicroorganisms · 2021Article
- Effects of Climate Change and Heterogeneity of Local Climates оn the Development of Malaria Parasite (International journal of environmental research and public health · 2019Article
- Patterns and trends of malaria in 25 risk districts of Nepal from 2001 to 2017.Clinical and experimental vaccine research · 2019Article
- Mapping multiple components of malaria risk for improved targeting of elimination interventions.Malaria journal · 2017Review
- malERA: An updated research agenda for combination interventions and modelling in malaria elimination and eradication.PLoS medicine · 2017Review
- Fine-scale variation in microclimate across an urban landscape shapes variation in mosquito population dynamics and the potential of Aedes albopictus to transmit arboviral disease.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2017Article
- A spatial predictive model for malaria resurgence in central Greece integrating entomological, environmental and social data.PloS one · 2017Article
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Authors and funding
4 authors.
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Abstract
Malaria is currently one of the world´s major health problems. About a half-million deaths are recorded every year. In Portugal, malaria cases were significantly high until the end of the 1950s but the disease was considered eliminated in 1973. In the past few years, endemic malaria cases have been recorded in some European countries. With the increasing human mobility from countries with endemic malaria to Portugal, there is concern about the resurgence of this disease in the country. Here, we model and map the risk of malaria transmission for mainland Portugal, considering 3 different scenarios of existing imported infections. This risk assessment resulted from entomological studies on An. atroparvus, the only known mosquito capable of transmitting malaria in the study area. We used the malariogenic potential (determined by receptivity, infectivity and vulnerability) applied over geospatial data sets to estimate spatial variation in malaria risk. The results suggest that the risk exists, and the hotspots are concentrated in the northeast region of the country and in the upper and lower Alentejo regions.
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