Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27802302›Full record

ArticlePloS one2016

A Predictive Model for Assessing Surgery-Related Acute Kidney Injury Risk in Hypertensive Patients: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

Xing Liu, Yongkai Ye, Qi Mi, Wei Huang, Ting He, Pin Huang, Nana Xu, Qiaoyu Wu, Anli Wang, Ying Li and 1 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
0.7field-weighted citation impact, top 24% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 10 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Xing LiuDepartment of Cardiology, The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, 410013, The People's Republic of China.
Yongkai YeSchool of Computer, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha, 410073, The People's Republic of China.
Qi MiDepartment of Sports Medicine and Nutrition, University of Pittsburgh, PA, 15260, United States of America.
Wei HuangDepartment of Cardiology, The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, 410013, The People's Republic of China.
Ting HeDepartment of Cardiology, The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, 410013, The People's Republic of China.
Pin HuangDepartment of Cardiology, The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, 410013, The People's Republic of China.
Nana XuCenter of Clinical Pharmacology, The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, 410013, The People's Republic of China.
Qiaoyu WuDepartment of Cardiology, The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, 410013, The People's Republic of China.
Anli WangInformation Department, The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, 410013, The People's Republic of China.
Ying LiDepartment of Cardiology, The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, 410013, The People's Republic of China.
Hong YuanDepartment of Cardiology, The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, 410013, The People's Republic of China.
Third Xiangya Hospital · CNCentral South University · CNNational University of Defense Technology · CNUniversity of Pittsburgh · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAcute kidney injury (AKI) is a serious post-surgery complication; however, few preoperative risk models for AKI have been developed for hypertensive patients undergoing general surgery. Thus, in this study involving a large Chinese cohort, we developed and validated a risk model for surgery-related AKI using preoperative risk factors. METHODS AND

findingsThis retrospective cohort study included 24,451 hypertensive patients aged ≥18 years who underwent general surgery between 2007 and 2015. The endpoints for AKI classification utilized by the KDIGO (Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes) system were assessed. The most discriminative predictor was selected using Fisher scores and was subsequently used to construct a stepwise multivariate logistic regression model, whose performance was evaluated via comparisons with models used in other published works using the net reclassification index (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) index.

resultsSurgery-related AKI developed in 1994 hospitalized patients (8.2%). The predictors identified by our Xiang-ya Model were age, gender, eGFR, NLR, pulmonary infection, prothrombin time, thrombin time, hemoglobin, uric acid, serum potassium, serum albumin, total cholesterol, and aspartate amino transferase. The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) for the validation set and cross validation set were 0.87 (95% CI 0.86-0.89) and (0.89; 95% CI 0.88-0.90), respectively, and was therefore similar to the AUC for the training set (0.89; 95% CI 0.88-0.90). The optimal cutoff value was 0.09. Our model outperformed that developed by Kate et al., which exhibited an NRI of 31.38% (95% CI 25.7%-37.1%) and an IDI of 8% (95% CI 5.52%-10.50%) for patients who underwent cardiac surgery (n = 2101). CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: We developed an AKI risk model based on preoperative risk factors and biomarkers that demonstrated good performance when predicting events in a large cohort of hypertensive patients who underwent general surgery.

Indexed as

Acute Kidney InjuryAdultAgedArea Under CurveBiomarkersFemaleHumansHypertensionMaleMiddle AgedPostoperative ComplicationsRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsROC CurveSurgical Procedures, OperativeTreatment OutcomeBiomarkers

Identifiers

PMID27802302
PMCPMC5089779
OpenAlexW2547112158

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.