Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27796009›Full record

ArticleACM-BCB ... ... : the ... ACM Conference on Bioinformatics, Computational Biology and Biomedicine. ACM Conference on Bioinformatics, Computational Biology and Biomedicine2015

EpiCaster: An Integrated Web Application For Situation Assessment and Forecasting of Global Epidemics.

Suruchi Deodhar, Keith Bisset, Jiangzhuo Chen, Chris Barrett, Mandy Wilson, Madhav Marathe

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in ACM-BCB ... ... : the ... ACM Conference on Bioinformatics, Computational Biology and Biomedicine. ACM Conference on Bioinformatics, Computational Biology and Biomedicine, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Suruchi DeodharNetwork Dynamics and Simulation Science Laboratory, VBI, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA.
Keith BissetNetwork Dynamics and Simulation Science Laboratory, VBI, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA.
Jiangzhuo ChenNetwork Dynamics and Simulation Science Laboratory, VBI, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA.
Chris BarrettNetwork Dynamics and Simulation Science Laboratory, VBI, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA.
Mandy WilsonNetwork Dynamics and Simulation Science Laboratory, VBI, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA.
Madhav MaratheNetwork Dynamics and Simulation Science Laboratory, VBI, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA.

Funding

Synthetic Information Systems for Better Informing Public Health PolicymakersU01GM070694 · NIGMS · VIRGINIA POLYTECHNIC INST AND ST UNIV · PI EUBANK, STEPHEN G, MARATHE, MADHAV VISHNU · 2004 to 2016
$8.6M
Systems Analysis of Social Pathways of Epidemics to Reduce Health DisparitiesR01GM109718 · NIGMS · VIRGINIA POLYTECHNIC INST AND ST UNIV · PI MARATHE, ACHLA, VULLIKANTI, ANIL · 2014 to 2022
$3.6M
NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM109718NIGMS NIH HHS U01 GM070694
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Public health decision makers need access to high resolution situation assessment tools for understanding the extent of various epidemics in different regions of the world. In addition, they need insights into the future course of epidemics by way of forecasts. Such forecasts are essential for planning the allocation of limited resources and for implementing several policy-level and behavioral intervention strategies. The need for such forecasting systems became evident in the wake of the recent Ebola outbreak in West Africa. We have developed EpiCaster, an integrated Web application for situation assessment and forecasting of various epidemics, such as Flu and Ebola, that are prevalent in different regions of the world. Using EpiCaster, users can assess the magnitude and severity of different epidemics at highly resolved spatio-temporal levels. EpiCaster provides time-varying heat maps and graphical plots to view trends in the disease dynamics. EpiCaster also allows users to visualize data gathered through surveillance mechanisms, such as Google Flu Trends (GFT) and the World Health Organization (WHO). The forecasts provided by EpiCaster are generated using different epidemiological models, and the users can select the models through the interface to filter the corresponding forecasts. EpiCaster also allows the users to study epidemic propagation in the presence of a number of intervention strategies specific to certain diseases. Here we describe the modeling techniques, methodologies and computational infrastructure that EpiCaster relies on to support large-scale predictive analytics for situation assessment and forecasting of global epidemics.

Identifiers

PMID27796009
PMCPMC5082988

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.