Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27783637›Full record

ArticlePloS one2016

Modeling Impact and Cost-Effectiveness of Increased Efforts to Attract Voluntary Medical Male Circumcision Clients Ages 20-29 in Zimbabwe.

Katharine Kripke, Karin Hatzold, Owen Mugurungi, Gertrude Ncube, Sinokuthemba Xaba, Elizabeth Gold, Kim Seifert Ahanda, Natalie Kruse-Levy, Emmanuel Njeuhmeli

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Article in PloS one, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Katharine KripkeHealth Policy Project, Avenir Health, Washington, District of Columbia, United States of America.
Karin HatzoldPopulation Services International, Harare, Zimbabwe.
Owen MugurungiZimbabwe Ministry of Health and Child Care, Harare, Zimbabwe.
Gertrude NcubeZimbabwe Ministry of Health and Child Care, Harare, Zimbabwe.
Sinokuthemba XabaZimbabwe Ministry of Health and Child Care, Harare, Zimbabwe.
Elizabeth GoldCenter for Communication Programs, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America.
Kim Seifert AhandaThe United States Agency for International Development (USAID), Washington, District of Columbia, United States of America.
Natalie Kruse-LevyUSAID, Harare, Zimbabwe.
Emmanuel NjeuhmeliThe United States Agency for International Development (USAID), Washington, District of Columbia, United States of America.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5370-4827

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundZimbabwe aims to increase circumcision coverage to 80% among 13- to 29-year-olds. However, implementation data suggest that high coverage among men ages 20 and older may not be achievable without efforts specifically targeted to these men, incurring additional costs per circumcision. Scale-up scenarios were created based on trends in implementation data in Zimbabwe, and the cost-effectiveness of increasing efforts to recruit clients ages 20-29 was examined.

methodsZimbabwe voluntary medical male circumcision (VMMC) program data were used to project trends in male circumcision coverage by age into the future. The projection informed a base scenario in which, by 2018, the country achieves 80% circumcision coverage among males ages 10-19 and lower levels of coverage among men above age 20. The Zimbabwe DMPPT 2.0 model was used to project costs and impacts, assuming a US$109 VMMC unit cost in the base scenario and a 3% discount rate. Two other scenarios assumed that the program could increase coverage among clients ages 20-29 with a corresponding increase in unit cost for these age groups.

resultsWhen circumcision coverage among men ages 20-29 is increased compared with a base scenario reflecting current implementation trends, fewer VMMCs are required to avert one infection. If more than 50% additional effort (reflected as multiplying the unit cost by >1.5) is required to double the increase in coverage among this age group compared with the base scenario, the cost per HIV infection averted is higher than in the base scenario.

conclusionsAlthough increased investment in recruiting VMMC clients ages 20-29 may lead to greater overall impact if recruitment efforts are successful, it may also lead to lower cost-effectiveness, depending on the cost of increasing recruitment. Programs should measure the relationship between increased effort and increased ability to attract this age group.

Indexed as

Cost-Benefit AnalysisModels, TheoreticalAdolescentAdultChildCircumcision, MaleHIV InfectionsHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedNational Health ProgramsVoluntary ProgramsYoung AdultZimbabwe

Identifiers

PMID27783637
PMCPMC5082672

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.