Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27775161›Full record

ArticleAlcoholism, clinical and experimental research2016

Prospective Analysis of Behavioral Economic Predictors of Stable Moderation Drinking Among Problem Drinkers Attempting Natural Recovery.

Jalie A Tucker, JeeWon Cheong, Susan D Chandler, Brice H Lambert, Brittney Pietrzak, Heather Kwok, Susan L Davies

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Alcoholism, clinical and experimental research, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.4field-weighted citation impact, top 17% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 27 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Community characteristics and substance-free activity and service access predict membership in alcohol use disorder risk profiles.Psychology of addictive behaviors : journal of the Society of Psychologists in Addictive Behaviors · 2025
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  4. Human laboratory models of reward in substance use disorder.Pharmacology, biochemistry, and behavior · 2024
    Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
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  8. Behavioral economic indicators of risky drinking among community-dwelling emerging adults.Psychology of addictive behaviors : journal of the Society of Psychologists in Addictive Behaviors · 2021
    Article
  9. Reasons to be cheerful: Personal, civic, and economic achievements after resolving an alcohol or drug problem in the United States population.Psychology of addictive behaviors : journal of the Society of Psychologists in Addictive Behaviors · 2021
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Jalie A TuckerDepartment of Health Education & Behavior, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida.
JeeWon CheongDepartment of Health Education & Behavior, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida.
Susan D ChandlerDepartment of Health Education & Behavior, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida.
Brice H LambertDepartment of Health Behavior, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama.
Brittney PietrzakDepartment of Health Behavior, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama.
Heather KwokDepartment of Health Behavior, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama.
Susan L DaviesDepartment of Health Behavior, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama.
University of Alabama at Birmingham · USUniversity of Florida · US

Funding

Time Horizons and the Behavioral Economics of Recovery from Drinking ProblemsR01AA017880 · NIAAA · UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA AT BIRMINGHAM · PI DAVIES, SUSAN L · 2009 to 2013
$2.7M
NIAAA NIH HHS R01 AA017880
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAs interventions have expanded beyond clinical treatment to include brief interventions for persons with less severe alcohol problems, predicting who can achieve stable moderation drinking has gained importance. Recent behavioral economic (BE) research on natural recovery has shown that active problem drinkers who allocate their monetary expenditures on alcohol and saving for the future over longer time horizons tend to have better subsequent recovery outcomes, including maintenance of stable moderation drinking. This study compared the predictive utility of this money-based "Alcohol-Savings Discretionary Expenditure" (ASDE) index with multiple BE analogue measures of behavioral impulsivity and self-control, which have seldom been investigated together, to predict outcomes of natural recovery attempts.

methodsCommunity-dwelling problem drinkers, enrolled shortly after stopping abusive drinking without treatment, were followed prospectively for up to a year (N = 175 [75.4% male], M age = 50.65 years). They completed baseline assessments of preresolution drinking practices and problems, analogue behavioral choice tasks (Delay Discounting, Melioration-Maximization, and Alcohol Purchase Tasks), and a Timeline Followback interview including expenditures on alcohol compared to voluntary savings (ASDE index) during the preresolution year.

resultsMultinomial logistic regression models showed that, among the BE measures, only the ASDE index predicted stable moderation drinking compared to stable abstinence or unstable resolutions involving relapse. As hypothesized, stable moderation was associated with more balanced preresolution allocations to drinking and savings (odds ratio = 1.77, 95% confidence interval = 1.02 to 3.08, p < 0.05), suggesting it is associated with longer-term behavior regulation processes than abstinence.

conclusionsThe ASDE's unique predictive utility may rest on its comprehensive representation of contextual elements to support this patterning of behavioral allocation. Stable low-risk drinking, but not abstinence, requires such regulatory processes.

Indexed as

Alcohol DrinkingEconomics, BehavioralFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesRecurrenceSelf-ControlTemperanceBehavioral EconomicsBehavioral ImpulsivityModeration DrinkingNatural Recovery

Identifiers

PMID27775161
PMCPMC5133147
OpenAlexW2537634812

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.