Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27769836›Full record

ArticleJournal of clinical epidemiology2017

Smoking intensity (pack/day) is a better measure than pack-years or smoking status for modeling cardiovascular disease outcomes.

Robin Nance, Joseph Delaney, John W McEvoy, Michael J Blaha, Gregory L Burke, Ana Navas-Acien, Joel D Kaufman, Elizabeth C Oelsner, Robyn L McClelland

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of clinical epidemiology, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Observational
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Cigarette Smoking and Risk of Hospitalization With Acute Kidney Injury: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study.American journal of kidney diseases : the official journal of the National Kidney Foundation · 2024
    Observational
  11. Article
  12. The Longitudinal Association Between Cigarette Coupon Receipt and Short-term Smoking Cessation Among US Adults.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2023
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. The effect of short term exposure to outdoor air pollution on fertility.Reproductive biology and endocrinology : RB&E · 2021
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Robin NanceDepartment of Biostatistics, Collaborative Health Studies Coordinating Center, University of Washington, Building 29, Suite 210, 6200 NE 74th Street, Box 354922, Seattle, WA 98115, USA. Electronic address: rmnance@uw.edu.
Joseph DelaneyDepartment of Epidemiology, Collaborative Health Studies Coordinating Center, University of Washington, Box 354922, Building 29, Suite 310, 6200 NE 74th Street, Seattle, WA 98115-8160, USA.
John W McEvoyJohns Hopkins Ciccarone Center for the Prevention of Heart Disease, Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, 600 N. Wolfe Street, Baltimore, MD 21287, USA.
Michael J BlahaDepartment of Medicine, Johns Hopkins Hospital, Johns Hopkins University, 600 N. Wolfe Street, Blalock 524C, Baltimore, MD 21287, USA.
Gregory L BurkeDivision of Public Health Sciences, Wake Forest School of Medicine, Medical Center Blvd., Winston-Salem, NC 27157-1063, USA.
Ana Navas-AcienDepartment of Environmental Health Sciences, Columbia University, 722 168th W St, Office 1105, New York, NY 10032, USA.
Joel D KaufmanDepartments of Environmental & Occupational Health Sciences, Medicine, and Epidemiology, University of Washington, 4225 Roosevelt Way NE, Suite 100, Seattle, WA 98105, USA.
Elizabeth C OelsnerDepartment of Medicine, Division of General Medicine, Presbyterian Hospital, Columbia University, 630 West 168th Street, 9-105E, New York, NY 10032, USA.
Robyn L McClellandDepartment of Biostatistics, Collaborative Health Studies Coordinating Center, University of Washington, Building 29, Suite 210, 6200 NE 74th Street, Box 354922, Seattle, WA 98115, USA.

Funding

Institute for Clinical and Translational ResearchUL1TR001079 · NCATS · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI FORD, DANIEL ERNEST · 2013 to 2017
$60.1M
Clinical and Translational Science AwardUL1TR000040 · NCATS · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI GINSBERG, HENRY N · 2012 to 2015
$26.2M
Research Training and Education Core (Core D) P50HL120163 · NHLBI · AMERICAN HEART ASSOCIATION · PI BUTLER, JAVED · 2013 to 2017
$20.1M
PRIMARY PREVENTION TRIALU01DK048443 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI WATSON, KAROL E · 1994 to 2021
$10.2M
Cigarette Smoke and Susceptibility to Influenza InfectionR01HL095163 · NHLBI · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI JASPERS, ILONA, NOAH, TERRY L · 2009 to 2013
$2.0M
Adjunctive Use of Apyrase to Fibrinolytic TherapyR44HL095169 · NHLBI · APT THERAPEUTICS, INC. · PI CHEN, RIDONG · 2012 to 2013
$1.3M
SUBCLINICAL CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE STUDYN01HC095166 · HC · UNIVERSITY OF VERMONT &ST AGRIC COLLEGE · PI TRACY, RUSSELL P · 1999 to 2001
$758k
SUBCLINICAL CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE STUDY-FIELD CENTERN01HC095162 · HC · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI SZKLO, MOYSES A · 1999 to 2000
$694k
Hypercoagulability and Chronic Lung Disease in Older AdultsK23HL130627 · NHLBI · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI OELSNER, ELIZABETH · 2016 to 2019
$686k
SUBCLINICAL CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE STUDY--FIELD CENTERN01HC095161 · HC · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI SHEA, STEVEN · 1999 to 2001
$642k
SUBCLINICAL CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE STUDY--FIELD CENTERN01HC095165 · HC · WAKE FOREST UNIVERSITY · PI BURKE, GREGORY L · 1999 to 2001
$616k
Longitudinal Methods for Cardiovascular Disease ResearchR01HL103729 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI MCCLELLAND, ROBYN LEAGH · 2011 to 2013
$592k
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000040NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001079NHLBI NIH HHS K23 HL130627NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095159NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095160NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095161NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095162NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095163NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095164NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095165NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095166NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095167NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095168NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC095169NHLBI NIH HHS P50 HL120163NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL103729NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK048443
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesSmoking as an epidemiological exposure can be quantified in many ways including duration, intensity, pack-years, recency, and age at initiation. However, it is not clear which of these are most important for cardiovascular disease (CVD) and how they should be modeled. STUDY DESIGN AND

settingUsing the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis, Cox models for time to incident CVD adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education category, and income category were compared which included various characterizations of smoking history.

resultsDuration, age at starting, time since quitting, and noncigarette forms of smoking were not independently associated with CVD, whereas baseline current intensity was associated with CVD [e.g., hard CVD hazard ratio 1 pack/d of 1.85 95% confidence interval (1.33, 2.57)]. Former smokers, regardless of duration, intensity, or recency, were not at increased risk, suggesting that risk may risk may drop precipitously from the time of quitting. For CVD events, representing smoking exposure as baseline smoking intensity produced better model fit as measured by Akaike information criterion than models using smoking status or pack-years.

conclusionThe association of smoking with incident CVD events was well captured by including a simple term for baseline smoking intensity.

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsCardiovascular DiseasesCausalityFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedProportional Hazards ModelsRisk FactorsSmokingTime FactorsCardiovascular diseaseCohortIntensityMulti-Ethnic Study of AtherosclerosisPack-yearsSmoking

Identifiers

PMID27769836
PMCPMC5318261

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.