Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27755391›Full record

ArticleMedical care2017

Predicting Readmission at Early Hospitalization Using Electronic Clinical Data: An Early Readmission Risk Score.

Ying P Tabak, Xiaowu Sun, Carlos M Nunez, Vikas Gupta, Richard S Johannes

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Medical care, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Optimal and Safe Estimation for High-Dimensional Semi-Supervised Learning.Journal of the American Statistical Association · 2024
    Article
  6. Forecasting Hospital Readmissions with Machine Learning.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Implementing an Individual-Centric Discharge Process across Singapore Public Hospitals.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Prevalence, Reasons, and Predisposing Factors Associated with 30-day Hospital Readmissions in Poland.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2019
    Article
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  14. Article
  15. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Ying P Tabak*Medical Informatics, Becton, Dickinson and Company †The Biomedical Informatics Research Center at San Diego State University, San Diego, CA ‡Harvard Medical School and Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA.
Xiaowu Sun
Carlos M Nunez
Vikas Gupta
Richard S Johannes

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIdentifying patients at high risk for readmission early during hospitalization may aid efforts in reducing readmissions. We sought to develop an early readmission risk predictive model using automated clinical data available at hospital admission.

methodsWe developed an early readmission risk model using a derivation cohort and validated the model with a validation cohort. We used a published Acute Laboratory Risk of Mortality Score as an aggregated measure of clinical severity at admission and the number of hospital discharges in the previous 90 days as a measure of disease progression. We then evaluated the administrative data-enhanced model by adding principal and secondary diagnoses and other variables. We examined the c-statistic change when additional variables were added to the model.

resultsThere were 1,195,640 adult discharges from 70 hospitals with 39.8% male and the median age of 63 years (first and third quartile: 43, 78). The 30-day readmission rate was 11.9% (n=142,211). The early readmission model yielded a graded relationship of readmission and the Acute Laboratory Risk of Mortality Score and the number of previous discharges within 90 days. The model c-statistic was 0.697 with good calibration. When administrative variables were added to the model, the c-statistic increased to 0.722.

conclusionsAutomated clinical data can generate a readmission risk score early at hospitalization with fair discrimination. It may have applied value to aid early care transition. Adding administrative data increases predictive accuracy. The administrative data-enhanced model may be used for hospital comparison and outcome research.

Indexed as

Models, TheoreticalAdultAgedAged, 80 and overDiagnostic Techniques and ProceduresElectronic Health RecordsFemaleHospital AdministrationHumansMaleMiddle AgedPatient AdmissionPatient ReadmissionReproducibility of ResultsRisk AssessmentRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID27755391
PMCPMC5318151

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.