Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27741010›Full record

ArticleAnnals of surgery2016

Can CT-PET and Endoscopic Assessment Post-Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy Predict Residual Disease in Esophageal Cancer?

Helen M Heneghan, Claire Donohoe, Jessie Elliot, Zuhair Ahmed, Vinod Malik, Narayamasamy Ravi, John V Reynolds

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Article in Annals of surgery, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 31 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
31citing papers in PubMed
9.4field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

31 citing papers in PubMed, 61 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 1 institution in 2 countries.

Helen M HeneghanDepartment of Surgery, Trinity Healthcare Sciences Building, St. James's Hospital and Trinity College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland.
Claire Donohoe
Jessie Elliot
Zuhair Ahmed
Vinod Malik
Narayamasamy Ravi
John V Reynolds
Apple (Israel) · IL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThe aim of this study is to assess CT-PET and endoscopic assessment postneoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) in predicting complete pathologic response (pCR) in locally advanced esophageal cancer (LAEC).

designA prospective cohort study.

backgroundnCRT is increasingly standard of care in LAEC, with pCR a surrogate for excellent outcome. Predicting pCR before surgery, with metabolic imaging and endoscopy, may spare patients' operative intervention.

methodsOne hundred thirty-eight consecutive patients [mean age 61 ± 8, 99 male (72%), 103 (75%) adenocarcinoma] underwent nCRT with CT-PET and endoscopy 4 to 6 weeks later, and surgery subsequently. A complete metabolic response (cMR) was defined as SUVmax of <4. A complete endoscopic response (cER) was no residual mucosal abnormality. The association of pCR with cMR and cER was analyzed.

resultspCR was achieved in 30 patients (22%); 37% SCC and 17% adenocarcinoma. A cMR was evident in 63 (46%), of whom 17 (27%) had a pCR and 17(27%) were ypN+. A cER was observed in 45 (33%). The Spearman correlation for cER and cMR was 0.066 (P = 0.479), for cER and pCR was 0.004 (P = 0.969), and cMR and pCR -0.120 (P = 0.160). The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of cMR was 57%, 57%, 27%, and 82%, respectively, and for combined cMR and cER was 24%, 83%, 28%, and 79%, respectively.

conclusionsThe prediction of pCR through CT-PET and endoscopy independently or combined is limited by low sensitivity and poor positive predictive value. Protocols to avoid surgery in patients with apparent complete clinical complete based on these criteria should be adopted with considerable caution.

Indexed as

EndoscopyPositron Emission Tomography Computed TomographyAdenocarcinomaAdultAgedAged, 80 and overCarcinoma, Squamous CellChemoradiotherapyEsophageal NeoplasmsFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedNeoadjuvant TherapyNeoplasm, ResidualPredictive Value of Tests

Identifiers

PMID27741010
OpenAlexW2492050068

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.